AMAT

Applied Materials, Inc.

69
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

AMAT has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AMAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x61x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x61x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$205-46%
Forward20x$381—
Fair21x$263-31%
Expensive29x$365-4.1%
Current30x$381—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMAT's PE is 30x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMAT, with profitability improving.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

AMAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$571.89
Downside-30%$264.79

Calculated from the latest close: $380.95 on Nov 12.

AMAT trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMAT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2025: $8.66Q1 2026: $9.75Q2 2026: $10.63Q3 2026: $11.58Q4 2026: $12.62Forward: $18.83
Q4 2025: $8.66Q1 2026: $9.75Q2 2026: $10.63Q3 2026: $11.58Q4 2026: $12.62Forward: $18.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$18.83+49%
Q4 2026$12.62+46%

AMAT has the edge over RDW in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

AMAT Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2025: $7.2BQ2 2025: $7.1BQ3 2025: $7.3BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $7BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $9.1BQ4 2026: $10.4B
Q1 2025: $7.2BQ2 2025: $7.1BQ3 2025: $7.3BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $7BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $9.1BQ4 2026: $10.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2026$10.4B+53%
Q3 2026$9.1B+25%
Q2 2026$7.9B+11%
Q1 2026$7B-2.1%

AMAT's revenue is growing: $10.4B last quarter, up 53% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over AMAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMAT Free Cash Flow

Q1 2025: $544MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $210MQ3 2026: $2.3BQ4 2026: --
Q1 2025: $544MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $210MQ3 2026: $2.3BQ4 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+14%
Q2 2026$210M-80%
Q1 2026$1B+91%

AMAT and RDW do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

AMAT Total Shares

Q1 2025: 819MQ2 2025: 812MQ3 2025: 802MQ4 2025: 808MQ1 2026: 799MQ2 2026: 799MQ3 2026: 800M
Q1 2025: 819MQ2 2025: 812MQ3 2025: 802MQ4 2025: 808MQ1 2026: 799MQ2 2026: 799MQ3 2026: 800M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+1M shares
1 year-0.2%-2M shares

AMAT has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

AMAT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low

AMAT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AMAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.8Neutral
Stochastic13.8Oversold

AMAT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

AMAT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMATSector medianRelative
PE30x28x8.4% above
PE %853550 pts above

AMAT is trading at 30x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$427.811% below
20 week MA$477.920% below
50 week MA$418.08.9% below
100 week MA$298.528% above
200 week MA$232.164% above

AMAT has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

AMAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.2$85.3+39%
2021$85.3$155.5+82%
2022$155.5$97.2-37%
2023$97.2$162.1+67%
2024$162.1$166.8+2.9%
2025$166.8$261.9+57%
2026 YTD$261.9$381.0+45%

AMAT has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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