AMAT

Applied Materials, Inc.

69
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

AMAT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over AMAT overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AMAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AMAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x61x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x61x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$205-46%
Forward20x$381—
Fair21x$263-31%
Expensive29x$365-4.1%
Current30x$381—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMAT's PE is 30x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over AMAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

AMAT has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

AMAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$571.89
Downside-30%$264.79

Calculated from the latest close: $380.95 on Nov 12.

AMAT trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMAT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2025: $8.66Q1 2026: $9.75Q2 2026: $10.63Q3 2026: $11.58Q4 2026: $12.62Forward: $18.83
Q4 2025: $8.66Q1 2026: $9.75Q2 2026: $10.63Q3 2026: $11.58Q4 2026: $12.62Forward: $18.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$18.83+49%
Q4 2026$12.62+46%

AMAT has the edge over MSFT in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

AMAT Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2025: $7.2BQ2 2025: $7.1BQ3 2025: $7.3BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $7BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $9.1BQ4 2026: $10.4B
Q1 2025: $7.2BQ2 2025: $7.1BQ3 2025: $7.3BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $7BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $9.1BQ4 2026: $10.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2026$10.4B+53%
Q3 2026$9.1B+25%
Q2 2026$7.9B+11%
Q1 2026$7B-2.1%

AMAT's revenue is growing: $10.4B last quarter, up 53% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMAT Free Cash Flow

Q1 2025: $544MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $210MQ3 2026: $2.3BQ4 2026: --
Q1 2025: $544MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $210MQ3 2026: $2.3BQ4 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+14%
Q2 2026$210M-80%
Q1 2026$1B+91%

AMAT has the edge over MSFT in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

AMAT Total Shares

Q1 2025: 819MQ2 2025: 812MQ3 2025: 802MQ4 2025: 808MQ1 2026: 799MQ2 2026: 799MQ3 2026: 800M
Q1 2025: 819MQ2 2025: 812MQ3 2025: 802MQ4 2025: 808MQ1 2026: 799MQ2 2026: 799MQ3 2026: 800M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+1M shares
1 year-0.2%-2M shares

AMAT has 800M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AMAT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low

AMAT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AMAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.8Neutral
Stochastic13.8Oversold

AMAT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

AMAT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMATSector medianRelative
PE30x28x8.4% above
PE %853550 pts above

AMAT is trading at 30x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over AMAT on valuation relative to its sector.

AMAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$427.811% below
20 week MA$477.920% below
50 week MA$418.08.9% below
100 week MA$298.528% above
200 week MA$232.164% above

AMAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 64% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over AMAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AMAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.2$85.3+39%
2021$85.3$155.5+82%
2022$155.5$97.2-37%
2023$97.2$162.1+67%
2024$162.1$166.8+2.9%
2025$166.8$261.9+57%
2026 YTD$261.9$381.0+45%

AMAT has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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