AMAT

Applied Materials, Inc.

69
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

AMAT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has the edge over AMAT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

AMAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

AMAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AMAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x61x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x61x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$188-51%
Forward20x$381—
Fair21x$241-37%
Expensive29x$335-12%
Current30x$381—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMAT has the edge over AMD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AMAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMAT, with profitability improving.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$571.89
Downside-30%$264.79

Calculated from the latest close: $380.95 on Nov 12.

AMAT trails AMD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMAT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AMAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.11Q1 2024: $8.50Q2 2024: $8.70Q3 2024: $8.90Q4 2024: $8.61Q1 2025: $7.65Q2 2025: $8.22Q3 2025: $8.39Q4 2025: $8.66Q1 2026: $9.75Q2 2026: $10.63Q3 2026: $11.58Forward: $18.83
Q4 2023: $8.11Q1 2024: $8.50Q2 2024: $8.70Q3 2024: $8.90Q4 2024: $8.61Q1 2025: $7.65Q2 2025: $8.22Q3 2025: $8.39Q4 2025: $8.66Q1 2026: $9.75Q2 2026: $10.63Q3 2026: $11.58Forward: $18.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$18.83+63%
Q3 2026$11.58+38%
Q2 2026$10.63+29%
Q1 2026$9.75+27%
Q4 2025$8.66+0.6%
Q3 2025$8.39-5.7%
Q2 2025$8.22-5.5%
Q1 2025$7.65-10%
Q4 2024$8.61+6.2%

AMAT earned $11.58 per share over the past year, up 38% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD has the edge over AMAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.7BQ1 2024: $6.7BQ2 2024: $6.6BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7BQ1 2025: $7.2BQ2 2025: $7.1BQ3 2025: $7.3BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $7BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $9.1B
Q4 2023: $6.7BQ1 2024: $6.7BQ2 2024: $6.6BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7BQ1 2025: $7.2BQ2 2025: $7.1BQ3 2025: $7.3BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $7BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $9.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9.1B+25%
Q2 2026$7.9B+11%
Q1 2026$7B-2.1%
Q4 2025$6.8B-3.5%
Q3 2025$7.3B+7.7%
Q2 2025$7.1B+6.8%
Q1 2025$7.2B+6.8%
Q4 2024$7B+4.8%

AMAT's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $9.1B last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD has the edge over AMAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $544MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $210MQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $544MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $210MQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+14%
Q2 2026$210M-80%
Q1 2026$1B+91%
Q4 2025$2B-5.8%
Q3 2025$2.1B-1.8%
Q2 2025$1.1B-6.5%
Q1 2025$544M-74%
Q4 2024$2.2B+74%

AMAT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $5.6B over the past year, down 3.4% from the year before.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD has the edge over AMAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 845MQ1 2024: 837MQ2 2024: 836MQ3 2024: 833MQ4 2024: 834MQ1 2025: 819MQ2 2025: 812MQ3 2025: 802MQ4 2025: 808MQ1 2026: 799MQ2 2026: 799MQ3 2026: 800M
Q4 2023: 845MQ1 2024: 837MQ2 2024: 836MQ3 2024: 833MQ4 2024: 834MQ1 2025: 819MQ2 2025: 812MQ3 2025: 802MQ4 2025: 808MQ1 2026: 799MQ2 2026: 799MQ3 2026: 800M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+1M shares
1 year-0.2%-2M shares
3 years-5.1%-43M shares
5 years-13%-118M shares
Available history-15%-145M shares

AMAT has the edge over AMD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has 1.7B diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

AMAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

AMAT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

AMAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.8Neutral
Stochastic13.8Oversold

AMAT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

AMAT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMATSector medianRelative
PE30x28x8.4% above
PE %853550 pts above

AMAT has the edge over AMD on valuation relative to its sector.

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AMAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$427.811% below
20 week MA$477.920% below
50 week MA$418.08.9% below
100 week MA$298.528% above
200 week MA$232.164% above

AMAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 64% above its 200-week average.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD has the edge over AMAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AMAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.2$85.3+39%
2021$85.3$155.5+82%
2022$155.5$97.2-37%
2023$97.2$162.1+67%
2024$162.1$166.8+2.9%
2025$166.8$261.9+57%
2026 YTD$261.9$381.0+45%

AMAT has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 45% so far in 2026.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over AMAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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