AMAL

Amalgamated Financial Corp.

55
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

AMAL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over AMAL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AMAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

AMAL's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AMAL.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

AMAL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.5x11x15x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.5x11x15x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.7x$31.28-38%
Fair9.8x$39.80-21%
Forward11x$50.08—
Expensive12x$47.33-5.5%
Current12x$50.08—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMAL has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

AMAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMAL, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

AMAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$63.09
Downside-16%$42.30

Calculated from the latest close: $50.08 on Nov 12.

AMAL trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMAL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AMAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.86Q1 2024: $3.06Q2 2024: $3.23Q3 2024: $3.40Q4 2024: $3.44Q1 2025: $3.36Q2 2025: $3.33Q3 2025: $3.31Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.44Q2 2026: $3.75Q3 2026: $4.07Forward: $4.46
Q4 2023: $2.86Q1 2024: $3.06Q2 2024: $3.23Q3 2024: $3.40Q4 2024: $3.44Q1 2025: $3.36Q2 2025: $3.33Q3 2025: $3.31Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.44Q2 2026: $3.75Q3 2026: $4.07Forward: $4.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.46+9.5%
Q3 2026$4.07+23%
Q2 2026$3.75+13%
Q1 2026$3.44+2.4%
Q4 2025$3.41-0.9%
Q3 2025$3.31-2.6%
Q2 2025$3.33+3.1%
Q1 2025$3.36+9.8%
Q4 2024$3.44+20%

AMAL earned $4.07 per share over the past year, up 23% from the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over AMAL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $78MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $98MQ3 2026: $102M
Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $78MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $98MQ3 2026: $102M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$101.7M+19%
Q2 2026$98.4M+22%
Q1 2026$93.4M+21%
Q4 2025$85.2M+9.4%
Q3 2025$85.6M+5.6%
Q2 2025$80.9M+3.2%
Q1 2025$77M-1.6%
Q4 2024$77.9M+1.5%

AMAL's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $102M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over AMAL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $38MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $51MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $38MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $51MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33M-14%
Q2 2026$19.6M-24%
Q1 2026$50.7M+56%
Q4 2025$38M+34%
Q3 2025$38.3M+8.8%
Q2 2025$25.6M-7.7%
Q1 2025$32.5M+4.5%
Q4 2024$28.3M+88%

AMAL has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

AMAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+52K shares
1 year-0.6%-170K shares
3 years-1.1%-349K shares
5 years-3.9%-1.2M shares

AMAL has 30M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago, with $18M in buybacks over the past year.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over AMAL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMAL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

AMAL has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

AMAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.6Neutral
Stochastic66.4Neutral

AMAL's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

AMAL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAMALSector medianRelative
PE12x13x5.5% below
PE %896326 pts above

AMAL has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

AMAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$48.72.8% above
20 week MA$48.63.1% above
50 week MA$42.817% above
100 week MA$36.537% above
200 week MA$30.166% above

AMAL has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

AMAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.6$13.6-30%
2021$13.6$16.7+22%
2022$16.7$23.1+39%
2023$23.1$26.9+17%
2024$26.9$33.7+25%
2025$33.7$32.7-3%
2026 YTD$32.7$50.1+53%

AMAL has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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