AM

Antero Midstream Corporation

65
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

AM's fundamentals are mixed: its operating margin rose 20 points to 81%, while revenue grew 7.3%. At 14x earnings, it's trading below its usual 17x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

AM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Unavailable
Stable

AM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

AM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.0x14x21x28x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.0x14x21x28x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current14x$20.40—
Cheap15x$20.81+2%
Forward16x$20.40—
Fair17x$24.49+20%
Expensive21x$29.34+44%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AM's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 16x, in its fair range.

AM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AM, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$24.45
Downside-16%$17.09

Calculated from the latest close: $20.40 on Nov 12.

AM's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +20% against −16%.

AM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.80Q2 2024: $0.80Q3 2024: $0.81Q4 2024: $0.83Q1 2025: $0.87Q2 2025: $0.95Q3 2025: $0.98Q4 2025: $0.86Q1 2026: $0.86Q2 2026: $0.84Q3 2026: $1.42Forward: $1.24
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.80Q2 2024: $0.80Q3 2024: $0.81Q4 2024: $0.83Q1 2025: $0.87Q2 2025: $0.95Q3 2025: $0.98Q4 2025: $0.86Q1 2026: $0.86Q2 2026: $0.84Q3 2026: $1.42Forward: $1.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.24-12%
Q3 2026$1.42+45%
Q2 2026$0.84-12%
Q1 2026$0.86-1.1%
Q4 2025$0.86+3.6%
Q3 2025$0.98+21%
Q2 2025$0.95+19%
Q1 2025$0.87+8.7%
Q4 2024$0.83+7.8%

AM earned $1.42 per share over the past year, up 45% from the year before.

AM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $260MQ1 2024: $279MQ2 2024: $270MQ3 2024: $270MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $291MQ2 2025: $305MQ3 2025: $295MQ4 2025: $297MQ1 2026: $314MQ2 2026: $327MQ3 2026: $327M
Q4 2023: $260MQ1 2024: $279MQ2 2024: $270MQ3 2024: $270MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $291MQ2 2025: $305MQ3 2025: $295MQ4 2025: $297MQ1 2026: $314MQ2 2026: $327MQ3 2026: $327M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$327M+11%
Q2 2026$327.2M+7.1%
Q1 2026$314.2M+7.9%
Q4 2025$297M+3.3%
Q3 2025$294.8M+9.2%
Q2 2025$305.5M+13%
Q1 2025$291.1M+4.3%
Q4 2024$287.5M+10%

AM's revenue has grown year over year for 17 quarters in a row: $327M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

AM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $208MQ1 2024: $209MQ2 2024: $147MQ3 2024: $186MQ4 2024: $233MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $239MQ2 2026: $254MQ3 2026: $600M
Q4 2023: $208MQ1 2024: $209MQ2 2024: $147MQ3 2024: $186MQ4 2024: $233MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $239MQ2 2026: $254MQ3 2026: $600M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2024$232.7M+12%
Q3 2024$185.6M-8.3%
Q2 2024$147.2M-21%
Q1 2024$208.5M+14%
Q3 2023$202.4M+15%
Q2 2023$185.6M+9.5%
Q1 2023$182.5M-1.2%
Q3 2022$176.8M-4.5%

AM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since late 2019: $1.3B over the past year, up 77% from the year before.

AM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 484MQ2 2024: 485MQ3 2024: 486MQ4 2024: 485MQ1 2025: 484MQ2 2025: 482MQ3 2025: 482MQ4 2025: 482MQ1 2026: 478MQ2 2026: 477MQ3 2026: 477M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 484MQ2 2024: 485MQ3 2024: 486MQ4 2024: 485MQ1 2025: 484MQ2 2025: 482MQ3 2025: 482MQ4 2025: 482MQ1 2026: 478MQ2 2026: 477MQ3 2026: 477M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-26K shares
1 year-1%-4.7M shares
3 years-1.2%-5.8M shares
5 years-0.5%-2.6M shares
Available history+7.8%+34.4M shares

AM has 477M diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $102M in buybacks over the past year.

AM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.9xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 4.2xQ2 2026: 4.1xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 3.9xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 4.2xQ2 2026: 4.1xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20264.1xHigh
Q1 20264.2xHigh
Q4 20253.6xElevated
Q3 20253.3xElevated
Q2 20253.3xElevated
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q3 20243.7xElevated

AM's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.3 years a year ago.

AM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.8Neutral
Stochastic29.7Neutral

AM's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

AM PE vs Energy Sector

MetricAMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x9.5% above
PE %146147 pts below

AM is trading at 14x earnings, in line with the Energy sector's median of 13x.

AM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.60.9% below
20 week MA$21.55.3% below
50 week MA$21.13.2% below
100 week MA$19.35.7% above
200 week MA$16.127% above

AM has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 27% above its 200-week average.

AM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.39$8.38+13%
2021$8.38$9.60+15%
2022$9.60$10.9+13%
2023$10.9$12.5+15%
2024$12.5$15.1+21%
2025$15.1$17.7+17%
2026 YTD$17.7$20.4+15%

AM has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 15% so far in 2026.

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