ALVO

Alvotech

47
Fundamentals31/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

ALVO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over ALVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

ALVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Weak
Weak

ALVO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

ALVO PE Valuation

ALVO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ALVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

ALVO has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ALVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$7.17
Downside-34%$3.06

Calculated from the latest close: $4.67 on Nov 12.

ALVO trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-2.21Q3 2024: $-1.65Q4 2024: $-0.83Q1 2025: $0.34Q2 2025: $0.19Q3 2025: $0.21Q4 2025: $0.00Q1 2026: $-0.34Q2 2026: $-0.63Forward: $0.25
Q3 2023: $-2.21Q3 2024: $-1.65Q4 2024: $-0.83Q1 2025: $0.34Q2 2025: $0.19Q3 2025: $0.21Q4 2025: $0.00Q1 2026: $-0.34Q2 2026: $-0.63Forward: $0.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.25—
Q2 2026-$0.63-432%
Q1 2026-$0.34-200%
Q4 2025$0.00+$0.83
Q3 2025$0.21+$1.86
Q3 2024-$1.65+$0.56
Q1 2021-$4.90-$4.07
Q4 2020-$0.69+$0.19

ALVO has swung to a loss: it lost $0.63 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over ALVO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ALVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $199MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $151MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $166MQ1 2026: $106MQ2 2026: $106M
Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $199MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $151MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $166MQ1 2026: $106MQ2 2026: $106M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$105.8M-39%
Q1 2026$105.9M-20%
Q4 2025$166.4M+10%
Q3 2025$114M+11%
Q2 2025$173.2M-13%
Q1 2025$132.8M+260%
Q4 2024$151.2M+183%
Q3 2024$102.9M+478%

ALVO's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $106M last quarter, down 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

ALVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$124MQ4 2023: −$78MQ1 2024: −$80MQ2 2024: −$58MQ3 2024: −$85MQ4 2024: −$70MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: −$75MQ4 2025: −$71MQ1 2026: −$107MQ2 2026: −$48M
Q3 2023: −$124MQ4 2023: −$78MQ1 2024: −$80MQ2 2024: −$58MQ3 2024: −$85MQ4 2024: −$70MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: −$75MQ4 2025: −$71MQ1 2026: −$107MQ2 2026: −$48M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$47.7M-213%
Q1 2026-$106.6M-$95.8M
Q4 2025-$71.5M-$1.2M
Q3 2025-$74.5M+$11M
Q2 2025$42.1M+$99.8M
Q1 2025-$10.8M+$69.2M
Q4 2024-$70.3M+$7.4M
Q3 2024-$85.5M+$38.4M

ALVO has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$300M over the past year, against −$124M the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over ALVO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ALVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 267MQ4 2023: 267MQ1 2024: 267MQ2 2024: 259MQ3 2024: 280MQ4 2024: 302MQ1 2025: 313MQ2 2025: 313MQ3 2025: 300MQ4 2025: 279MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 357M
Q3 2023: 267MQ4 2023: 267MQ1 2024: 267MQ2 2024: 259MQ3 2024: 280MQ4 2024: 302MQ1 2025: 313MQ2 2025: 313MQ3 2025: 300MQ4 2025: 279MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 357M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8%+26.5M shares
1 year+14%+43.4M shares
3 years+56%+128M shares
5 years+1042%+326M shares
Available history+46%+113M shares

ALVO has 357M diluted shares, up 14% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over ALVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ALVO Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 11.3xQ4 2025: 8.8xQ1 2026: 23.3xQ2 2026: 200.4x
Q1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 11.3xQ4 2025: 8.8xQ1 2026: 23.3xQ2 2026: 200.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026200.4xHigh
Q1 202623.3xHigh
Q4 20258.8xHigh
Q3 202511.3xHigh
Q2 20255.4xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20228.1xHigh

ALVO's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.4 years a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over ALVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ALVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.9Neutral
Stochastic40.7Neutral

ALVO's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

ALVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricALVOSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

ALVO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

ALVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.098.3% below
20 week MA$4.601.5% above
50 week MA$4.337.9% above
100 week MA$6.9633% below
200 week MA$9.2850% below

ALVO's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 50% below its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over ALVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$9.70$10.0+3.1%
2023$10.0$11.5+15%
2024$11.5$12.7+10%
2025$12.7$5.26-58%
2026 YTD$5.26$4.67-11%

ALVO has finished higher in three of the last four years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over ALVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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