ALVO

Alvotech

47
Fundamentals31/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

ALVO has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over ALVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

ALVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Weak
Weak

ALVO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ALVO PE Valuation

ALVO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ALVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect ALVO to return to profit, with revenue growing.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

ALVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$7.17
Downside-34%$3.06

Calculated from the latest close: $4.67 on Nov 12.

ALVO trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-2.21Q3 2024: $-1.65Q4 2024: $-0.83Q1 2025: $0.34Q2 2025: $0.19Q3 2025: $0.21Q4 2025: $0.00Q1 2026: $-0.34Q2 2026: $-0.63Forward: $0.25
Q3 2023: $-2.21Q3 2024: $-1.65Q4 2024: $-0.83Q1 2025: $0.34Q2 2025: $0.19Q3 2025: $0.21Q4 2025: $0.00Q1 2026: $-0.34Q2 2026: $-0.63Forward: $0.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.25—
Q2 2026-$0.63-432%
Q1 2026-$0.34-200%
Q4 2025$0.00+$0.83
Q3 2025$0.21+$1.86
Q3 2024-$1.65+$0.56
Q1 2021-$4.90-$4.07
Q4 2020-$0.69+$0.19

ALVO has swung to a loss: it lost $0.63 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over ALVO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ALVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $199MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $151MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $166MQ1 2026: $106MQ2 2026: $106M
Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $199MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $151MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $166MQ1 2026: $106MQ2 2026: $106M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$105.8M-39%
Q1 2026$105.9M-20%
Q4 2025$166.4M+10%
Q3 2025$114M+11%
Q2 2025$173.2M-13%
Q1 2025$132.8M+260%
Q4 2024$151.2M+183%
Q3 2024$102.9M+478%

ALVO's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $106M last quarter, down 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over ALVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$124MQ4 2023: −$78MQ1 2024: −$80MQ2 2024: −$58MQ3 2024: −$85MQ4 2024: −$70MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: −$75MQ4 2025: −$71MQ1 2026: −$107MQ2 2026: −$48M
Q3 2023: −$124MQ4 2023: −$78MQ1 2024: −$80MQ2 2024: −$58MQ3 2024: −$85MQ4 2024: −$70MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: −$75MQ4 2025: −$71MQ1 2026: −$107MQ2 2026: −$48M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$47.7M-213%
Q1 2026-$106.6M-$95.8M
Q4 2025-$71.5M-$1.2M
Q3 2025-$74.5M+$11M
Q2 2025$42.1M+$99.8M
Q1 2025-$10.8M+$69.2M
Q4 2024-$70.3M+$7.4M
Q3 2024-$85.5M+$38.4M

ALVO has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$300M over the past year, against −$124M the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over ALVO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ALVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 267MQ4 2023: 267MQ1 2024: 267MQ2 2024: 259MQ3 2024: 280MQ4 2024: 302MQ1 2025: 313MQ2 2025: 313MQ3 2025: 300MQ4 2025: 279MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 357M
Q3 2023: 267MQ4 2023: 267MQ1 2024: 267MQ2 2024: 259MQ3 2024: 280MQ4 2024: 302MQ1 2025: 313MQ2 2025: 313MQ3 2025: 300MQ4 2025: 279MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 357M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8%+26.5M shares
1 year+14%+43.4M shares
3 years+56%+128M shares
5 years+1042%+326M shares
Available history+46%+113M shares

ALVO has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

ALVO Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 11.3xQ4 2025: 8.8xQ1 2026: 23.3xQ2 2026: 200.4x
Q1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 11.3xQ4 2025: 8.8xQ1 2026: 23.3xQ2 2026: 200.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026200.4xHigh
Q1 202623.3xHigh
Q4 20258.8xHigh
Q3 202511.3xHigh
Q2 20255.4xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20228.1xHigh

ALVO's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.4 years a year ago.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over ALVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ALVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.9Neutral
Stochastic40.7Neutral

ALVO's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

ALVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricALVOSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

ALVO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

ALVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.098.3% below
20 week MA$4.601.5% above
50 week MA$4.337.9% above
100 week MA$6.9633% below
200 week MA$9.2850% below

ALVO's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 50% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over ALVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$9.70$10.0+3.1%
2023$10.0$11.5+15%
2024$11.5$12.7+10%
2025$12.7$5.26-58%
2026 YTD$5.26$4.67-11%

ALVO has finished higher in three of the last four years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over ALVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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