ALTI

AlTi Global, Inc.

63
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

ALTI has a slight edge over MS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ALTI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

ALTI's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ALTI.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

ALTI PE Valuation

ALTI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

ALTI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ALTI, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

ALTI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$2.58
Downside-35%$1.10

Calculated from the latest close: $1.68 on Nov 12.

ALTI trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALTI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALTI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.65Q1 2024: $-1.28Q2 2024: $-1.72Q3 2024: $-1.20Q4 2024: $-1.59Q1 2025: $-1.81Q2 2025: $-1.96Q3 2025: $-1.90Q4 2025: $-1.32Q1 2026: $-1.27Q2 2026: $-1.25Q3 2026: $-0.57Forward: $0.31
Q4 2023: $-2.65Q1 2024: $-1.28Q2 2024: $-1.72Q3 2024: $-1.20Q4 2024: $-1.59Q1 2025: $-1.81Q2 2025: $-1.96Q3 2025: $-1.90Q4 2025: $-1.32Q1 2026: $-1.27Q2 2026: $-1.25Q3 2026: $-0.57Forward: $0.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.31—
Q3 2026-$0.57+$1.33
Q2 2026-$1.25+$0.71
Q1 2026-$1.27+$0.54
Q4 2025-$1.32+$0.27
Q3 2025-$1.90-$0.70
Q2 2025-$1.96-$0.24
Q1 2025-$1.81-$0.53
Q4 2024-$1.59+$1.06

ALTI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.57 per share over the past year, against $2.65 at its worst in late 2023.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over ALTI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ALTI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $92MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: $88MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: $58M
Q4 2023: $92MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: $88MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: $58M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$57.9M+1.2%
Q2 2026$58M+9.2%
Q1 2026$73.1M+26%
Q4 2025$88.3M+65%
Q3 2025$57.2M+7.3%
Q2 2025$53.1M+7.4%
Q1 2025$58M+14%
Q4 2024$53.3M-42%

ALTI's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $58M last quarter, up 1.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over ALTI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALTI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$31MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$20MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: −$3MQ3 2026: $6M
Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$31MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$20MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: −$3MQ3 2026: $6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.4M+$9.8M
Q2 2026-$3.2M+$16.8M
Q1 2026$5.3M+$36.3M
Q4 2025$2.1M+$4.1M
Q3 2025-$3.4M+$6M
Q2 2025-$20M+$11.3M
Q1 2025-$31M-$15.3M
Q4 2024-$2M-$931K

ALTI has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

ALTI Total Shares

Q1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 86MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 95MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 102MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 111MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 116M
Q1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 86MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 95MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 102MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 111MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 116M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.6%+5.1M shares
1 year+14%+13.9M shares
3 years+1.4%+1.6M shares

ALTI has 116M diluted shares, up 14% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over ALTI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ALTI Net Leverage

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

ALTI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI27.2Oversold
Stochastic5.5Oversold

ALTI's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

ALTI PE vs Financial Services Sector

ALTI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

ALTI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.5534% below
20 week MA$3.2148% below
50 week MA$3.6654% below
100 week MA$3.7255% below
200 week MA$5.0667% below

ALTI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over ALTI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALTI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.73$9.90+1.7%
2022$9.90$10.0+1.3%
2023$10.0$8.76-13%
2024$8.76$4.39-50%
2025$4.39$4.70+7.1%
2026 YTD$4.70$1.68-64%

ALTI is down 64% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in three of the previous five years.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over ALTI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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