ALRS
Alerus Financial Corporation
ALRS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over ALRS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
ALRS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ALRS's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ALRS.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
ALRS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.5x | $11.26 | -67% |
| Fair | 12x | $13.75 | -60% |
| Forward | 12x | $34.27 | — |
| Current | 29x | $34.27 | — |
| Expensive | 35x | $41.75 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ALRS's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over ALRS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ALRS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ALRS, with profitability improving.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.
ALRS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.86 | +140% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.19 | -37% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -28% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.05 | +1.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.68 | -18% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.89 | +1012% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.50 | +317% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.03 | +106% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.83 | +43% |
ALRS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.19 over the past year, against $3.14 in mid-2021.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
ALRS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $81.1M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $80.7M | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $75.8M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.2M | -89% |
| Q3 2025 | $72.6M | +43% |
| Q2 2025 | $74.8M | +46% |
| Q1 2025 | $68.8M | +45% |
| Q4 2024 | $72.2M | +223% |
ALRS's revenue is down over the past year, though its latest quarter was up: $81M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | -527% | -527 points |
| Q3 2025 | 30% | +17 points |
| Q2 2025 | 35% | +19 points |
| Q1 2025 | 26% | +7.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4% | +79 points |
ALRS has the edge over SOFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over ALRS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
ALRS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $52.7M | +74% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.9M | +137% |
| Q1 2026 | $25.8M | +356% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.3M | +241% |
| Q3 2025 | $30.3M | +87% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.6M | +$22.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $5.7M | -49% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.5M | +$7.5M |
ALRS has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
ALRS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -234K shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -552K shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +5.1M shares |
| 5 years | +44% | +7.7M shares |
| Available history | +67% | +10.1M shares |
ALRS has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $6.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $219,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $342,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $49,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $127,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $44,000 |
ALRS spent $22M buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
ALRS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.9x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 5.8x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.2x | High |
ALRS's net debt is about 5.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ALRS.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over ALRS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ALRS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 67.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.9 | Neutral |
ALRS's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
ALRS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | ALRS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 13x | 121% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
ALRS is trading at 29x earnings, a 121% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI has the edge over ALRS on valuation relative to its sector.
ALRS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $32.6 | 5.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $32.7 | 4.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $28.3 | 21% above |
| 100 week MA | $24.5 | 40% above |
| 200 week MA | $22.2 | 55% above |
ALRS has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
ALRS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22.8 | $27.1 | +19% |
| 2021 | $27.1 | $29.5 | +8.9% |
| 2022 | $29.5 | $23.3 | -21% |
| 2023 | $23.3 | $22.4 | -3.9% |
| 2024 | $22.4 | $19.2 | -14% |
| 2025 | $19.2 | $21.8 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $21.8 | $34.3 | +57% |
ALRS has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.