ALRS
Alerus Financial Corporation
ALRS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
GS has the edge over ALRS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
ALRS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ALRS's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ALRS.
GS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.
ALRS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.5x | $11.26 | -67% |
| Fair | 12x | $13.75 | -60% |
| Forward | 12x | $34.27 | — |
| Current | 29x | $34.27 | — |
| Expensive | 35x | $41.75 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ALRS's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
GS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.6x | $528 | -42% |
| Current | 13x | $914 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $914 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $940 | +2.9% |
| Expensive | 17x | $1,214 | +33% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GS has the edge over ALRS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ALRS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
ALRS has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
GS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ALRS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.86 | +140% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.19 | -37% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -28% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.05 | +1.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.68 | -18% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.89 | +1012% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.50 | +317% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.03 | +106% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.83 | +43% |
ALRS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.19 over the past year, against $3.14 in mid-2021.
GS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $72.35 | +4% |
| Q3 2026 | $69.58 | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $64.82 | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $54.75 | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.32 | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $49.22 | +44% |
| Q2 2025 | $45.37 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.08 | +68% |
| Q4 2024 | $40.54 | +77% |
GS has the edge over ALRS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ALRS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $81.1M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $80.7M | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $75.8M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.2M | -89% |
| Q3 2025 | $72.6M | +43% |
| Q2 2025 | $74.8M | +46% |
| Q1 2025 | $68.8M | +45% |
| Q4 2024 | $72.2M | +223% |
ALRS has the edge over GS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | -527% | -527 points |
| Q3 2025 | 30% | +17 points |
| Q2 2025 | 35% | +19 points |
| Q1 2025 | 26% | +7.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4% | +79 points |
ALRS's operating margin was 31% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
GS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.7B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.3B | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.5B | -3% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.2B | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.1B | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.9B | +23% |
GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 37% | +2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 42% | +8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 44% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 38% | +18 points |
GS has the edge over ALRS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ALRS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $52.7M | +74% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.9M | +137% |
| Q1 2026 | $25.8M | +356% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.3M | +241% |
| Q3 2025 | $30.3M | +87% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.6M | +$22.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $5.7M | -49% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.5M | +$7.5M |
ALRS has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
GS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +72% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.6B | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | -$32.4B | +$5.3B |
| Q4 2025 | -$16.8B | -136% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B | +$40.6B |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2B | -6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | -$37.7B | -$9.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $46.2B | +$75.1B |
GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.
ALRS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -234K shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -552K shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +5.1M shares |
| 5 years | +44% | +7.7M shares |
| Available history | +67% | +10.1M shares |
ALRS has 25M diluted shares, down 2.1% from a year ago, with $22M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $6.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $219,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $342,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $49,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $127,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $44,000 |
ALRS spent $22M buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
GS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.4% | -13.9M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -42.8M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -52.8M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -74.4M shares |
GS has the edge over ALRS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B |
| Q2 2026 | $4B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $3B |
| Q3 2025 | $2B |
| Q2 2025 | $3B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B |
GS spent $15B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 32% from the year before.
ALRS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.9x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 5.8x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.2x | High |
ALRS's net debt is about 5.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ALRS.
GS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -6.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
GS has the edge over ALRS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ALRS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 67.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.9 | Neutral |
ALRS's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
GS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.3 | Oversold |
GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
ALRS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | ALRS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 13x | 121% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
ALRS is trading at 29x earnings, a 121% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
GS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | GS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 0.8% above |
| PE % | 46 | 63 | 17 pts below |
GS has the edge over ALRS on valuation relative to its sector.
ALRS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $32.6 | 5.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $32.7 | 4.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $28.3 | 21% above |
| 100 week MA | $24.5 | 40% above |
| 200 week MA | $22.2 | 55% above |
ALRS has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $895.5 | 2% above |
| 20 week MA | $977.4 | 6.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $945.4 | 3.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $804.5 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $602.7 | 52% above |
GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.
ALRS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22.8 | $27.1 | +19% |
| 2021 | $27.1 | $29.5 | +8.9% |
| 2022 | $29.5 | $23.3 | -21% |
| 2023 | $23.3 | $22.4 | -3.9% |
| 2024 | $22.4 | $19.2 | -14% |
| 2025 | $19.2 | $21.8 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $21.8 | $34.3 | +57% |
ALRS has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
GS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $230.7 | $256.2 | +11% |
| 2021 | $256.2 | $385.0 | +50% |
| 2022 | $385.0 | $345.5 | -10% |
| 2023 | $345.5 | $385.8 | +12% |
| 2024 | $385.8 | $576.2 | +49% |
| 2025 | $576.2 | $907.0 | +57% |
| 2026 YTD | $907.0 | $913.6 | +0.7% |
GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.