ALRS

Alerus Financial Corporation

37
Fundamentals24/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

ALRS's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 29x earnings, more than twice its usual 12x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

ALRS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

ALRS's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ALRS.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

ALRS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x69x104x139x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x69x104x139x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.5x$11.26-67%
Fair12x$13.75-60%
Forward12x$34.27โ€”
Current29x$34.27โ€”
Expensive35x$41.75+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALRS's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALRS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ALRS, with profitability improving.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CIFR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ALRS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$41.39
Downside-15%$29.18

Calculated from the latest close: $34.27 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ALRS and CIFR's risk to reward.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ALRS and CIFR's risk to reward.

ALRS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.58Q1 2024: $0.50Q2 2024: $0.36Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.83Q1 2025: $1.03Q2 2025: $1.50Q3 2025: $1.89Q4 2025: $0.68Q1 2026: $1.05Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $1.19Forward: $2.86
Q4 2023: $0.58Q1 2024: $0.50Q2 2024: $0.36Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.83Q1 2025: $1.03Q2 2025: $1.50Q3 2025: $1.89Q4 2025: $0.68Q1 2026: $1.05Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $1.19Forward: $2.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.86+140%
Q3 2026$1.19-37%
Q2 2026$1.08-28%
Q1 2026$1.05+1.9%
Q4 2025$0.68-18%
Q3 2025$1.89+1012%
Q2 2025$1.50+317%
Q1 2025$1.03+106%
Q4 2024$0.83+43%

ALRS has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

ALRS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $81M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $81M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$81.1M+12%
Q2 2026$80.7M+7.8%
Q1 2026$75.8M+10%
Q4 2025$8.2M-89%
Q3 2025$72.6M+43%
Q2 2025$74.8M+46%
Q1 2025$68.8M+45%
Q4 2024$72.2M+223%

ALRS has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

ALRS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$3MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: โˆ’$15MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $53M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$3MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: โˆ’$15MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $53M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$52.7M+74%
Q2 2026$17.9M+137%
Q1 2026$25.8M+356%
Q4 2025$15.3M+241%
Q3 2025$30.3M+87%
Q2 2025$7.6M+$22.7M
Q1 2025$5.7M-49%
Q4 2024$4.5M+$7.5M

ALRS has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was โˆ’$3.1B over the past year, against โˆ’$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

ALRS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-234K shares
1 year-2.1%-552K shares
3 years+25%+5.1M shares
5 years+44%+7.7M shares
Available history+67%+10.1M shares

ALRS has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

ALRS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.0xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 9.3xQ3 2024: 16.7xQ4 2024: 7.2xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 7.9xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 5.8xQ3 2026: 5.9x
Q4 2023: 10.0xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 9.3xQ3 2024: 16.7xQ4 2024: 7.2xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 7.9xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 5.8xQ3 2026: 5.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.9xHigh
Q2 20265.8xHigh
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20257.9xHigh
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20254.6xHigh
Q1 20254.0xHigh
Q4 20247.2xHigh

ALRS's net debt is about 5.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ALRS.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

ALRS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.7Neutral
Stochastic74.9Neutral

ALRS's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

ALRS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricALRSSector medianRelative
PE29x13x121% above
PE %766313 pts above

ALRS is trading at 29x earnings, a 121% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALRS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.65.2% above
20 week MA$32.74.8% above
50 week MA$28.321% above
100 week MA$24.540% above
200 week MA$22.255% above

ALRS has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

ALRS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.8$27.1+19%
2021$27.1$29.5+8.9%
2022$29.5$23.3-21%
2023$23.3$22.4-3.9%
2024$22.4$19.2-14%
2025$19.2$21.8+13%
2026 YTD$21.8$34.3+57%

ALRS has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to โˆ’90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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