ALRS

Alerus Financial Corporation

37
Fundamentals24/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

ALRS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has the edge over ALRS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

ALRS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

ALRS's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ALRS.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

ALRS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x69x104x139x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x69x104x139x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.5x$11.26-67%
Fair12x$13.75-60%
Forward12x$34.27—
Current29x$34.27—
Expensive35x$41.75+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALRS's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK has the edge over ALRS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ALRS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ALRS, with profitability improving.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

ALRS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$41.39
Downside-15%$29.18

Calculated from the latest close: $34.27 on Nov 12.

ALRS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails ALRS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALRS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.58Q1 2024: $0.50Q2 2024: $0.36Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.83Q1 2025: $1.03Q2 2025: $1.50Q3 2025: $1.89Q4 2025: $0.68Q1 2026: $1.05Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $1.19Forward: $2.86
Q4 2023: $0.58Q1 2024: $0.50Q2 2024: $0.36Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.83Q1 2025: $1.03Q2 2025: $1.50Q3 2025: $1.89Q4 2025: $0.68Q1 2026: $1.05Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $1.19Forward: $2.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.86+140%
Q3 2026$1.19-37%
Q2 2026$1.08-28%
Q1 2026$1.05+1.9%
Q4 2025$0.68-18%
Q3 2025$1.89+1012%
Q2 2025$1.50+317%
Q1 2025$1.03+106%
Q4 2024$0.83+43%

ALRS has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

ALRS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $81M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $81M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$81.1M+12%
Q2 2026$80.7M+7.8%
Q1 2026$75.8M+10%
Q4 2025$8.2M-89%
Q3 2025$72.6M+43%
Q2 2025$74.8M+46%
Q1 2025$68.8M+45%
Q4 2024$72.2M+223%

ALRS's revenue is down over the past year, though its latest quarter was up: $81M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $7.8B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

ALRS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $53M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $53M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$52.7M+74%
Q2 2026$17.9M+137%
Q1 2026$25.8M+356%
Q4 2025$15.3M+241%
Q3 2025$30.3M+87%
Q2 2025$7.6M+$22.7M
Q1 2025$5.7M-49%
Q4 2024$4.5M+$7.5M

ALRS has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

ALRS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-234K shares
1 year-2.1%-552K shares
3 years+25%+5.1M shares
5 years+44%+7.7M shares
Available history+67%+10.1M shares

ALRS has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ALRS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.0xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 9.3xQ3 2024: 16.7xQ4 2024: 7.2xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 7.9xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 5.8xQ3 2026: 5.9x
Q4 2023: 10.0xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 9.3xQ3 2024: 16.7xQ4 2024: 7.2xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 7.9xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 5.8xQ3 2026: 5.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.9xHigh
Q2 20265.8xHigh
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20257.9xHigh
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20254.6xHigh
Q1 20254.0xHigh
Q4 20247.2xHigh

ALRS's net debt is about 5.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ALRS.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over ALRS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ALRS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.7Neutral
Stochastic74.9Neutral

ALRS's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

ALRS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricALRSSector medianRelative
PE29x13x121% above
PE %766313 pts above

ALRS is trading at 29x earnings, a 121% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK has the edge over ALRS on valuation relative to its sector.

ALRS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.65.2% above
20 week MA$32.74.8% above
50 week MA$28.321% above
100 week MA$24.540% above
200 week MA$22.255% above

ALRS is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 55% above its 200-week average.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

ALRS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.8$27.1+19%
2021$27.1$29.5+8.9%
2022$29.5$23.3-21%
2023$23.3$22.4-3.9%
2024$22.4$19.2-14%
2025$19.2$21.8+13%
2026 YTD$21.8$34.3+57%

ALRS has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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