ALRM
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.
ALRM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.
PLTR has the edge over ALRM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
ALRM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
ALRM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
PLTR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
ALRM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 22x | $66.42 | — |
| Cheap | 24x | $53.89 | -19% |
| Current | 29x | $66.42 | — |
| Fair | 45x | $103 | +55% |
| Expensive | 62x | $140 | +112% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ALRM's PE is in its cheap range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings.
PLTR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 75x | $172 | — |
| Current | 120x | $172 | — |
| Cheap | 165x | $236 | +37% |
| Fair | 251x | $359 | +109% |
| Expensive | 452x | $646 | +277% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PLTR has the edge over ALRM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ALRM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ALRM, with profitability holding steady.
PLTR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
PLTR has the edge over ALRM on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
ALRM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.99 | +32% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.27 | -3.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | -5% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.41 | +1.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.46 | +7.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.36 | +2.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.38 | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.37 | +40% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.29 | +50% |
ALRM earned $2.27 per share over the past year, down 3.8% from the year before.
PLTR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.30 | +61% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.43 | +240% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.17 | +290% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.89 | +287% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.63 | +232% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.42 | +110% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.30 | +76% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.23 | +92% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.19 | +111% |
PLTR has the edge over ALRM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ALRM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $279.4M | +9% |
| Q2 2026 | $277.7M | +9.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $265.2M | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $261.7M | +8% |
| Q3 2025 | $256.4M | +6.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $254.3M | +8.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $238.8M | +7% |
| Q4 2024 | $242.2M | +7.1% |
ALRM's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $279M last quarter, up 9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | +1.4 points |
ALRM's operating margin was 16% last quarter, up 1.3 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
PLTR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.3B | +96% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | +93% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.6B | +85% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | +70% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +63% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +48% |
| Q1 2025 | $883.9M | +39% |
| Q4 2024 | $827.5M | +36% |
PLTR has the edge over ALRM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 47% | +14 points |
| Q2 2026 | 47% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +26 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | +40 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +18 points |
| Q2 2025 | 27% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +7.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3% | -9.5 points |
PLTR has the edge over ALRM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ALRM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $69.5M | +5.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $37M | +104% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.7M | +177% |
| Q4 2025 | $35.1M | -35% |
| Q3 2025 | $65.9M | -12% |
| Q2 2025 | $18.2M | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.9M | -62% |
| Q4 2024 | $54M | +43% |
ALRM generated $191M in free cash flow over the past year, up 23% from the year before.
PLTR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +139% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +126% |
| Q1 2026 | $891.8M | +193% |
| Q4 2025 | $764M | +67% |
| Q3 2025 | $500.9M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $531.6M | +276% |
| Q1 2025 | $304.1M | +140% |
| Q4 2024 | $457.2M | +54% |
PLTR has the edge over ALRM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ALRM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +58K shares |
| 1 year | -4.2% | -2.5M shares |
| 3 years | +2.2% | +1.2M shares |
| 5 years | +8% | +4.1M shares |
| Available history | +11% | +5.7M shares |
ALRM has the edge over PLTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $25M |
| Q1 2026 | $20M |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $12.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $5.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $5.1M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
ALRM spent $78M buying back its own shares over the past year, about three times what it spent the year before.
PLTR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +5.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +2.9M shares |
| 3 years | +11% | +248M shares |
| 5 years | +31% | +610M shares |
| Available history | +184% | +1.7B shares |
PLTR has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $19.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $19.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $18.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $18M |
| Q4 2024 | $18.6M |
| Q3 2024 | $18.9M |
| Q2 2024 | $17.7M |
| Q1 2024 | $9M |
ALRM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -6.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -6.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -8.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -8.9x | Net Cash |
ALRM has the edge over PLTR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PLTR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
PLTR has more cash than debt.
ALRM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 74.2 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 80.3 | Overbought |
ALRM's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
PLTR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 47.4 | Neutral |
PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).
ALRM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ALRM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 28x | 5% above |
| PE % | 31 | 35 | 4 pts below |
ALRM has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.
PLTR PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PLTR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 120x | 28x | 331% above |
| PE % | 1 | 38 | 37 pts below |
PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ALRM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $60.2 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $56.8 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $51.1 | 30% above |
| 100 week MA | $53.5 | 24% above |
| 200 week MA | $56.2 | 18% above |
ALRM has the edge over PLTR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PLTR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $185.8 | 7.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $167.6 | 2.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $157.1 | 9.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $143.8 | 19% above |
| 200 week MA | $83.3 | 106% above |
PLTR's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 106% above its 200-week average.
ALRM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $42.8 | $98.9 | +131% |
| 2021 | $98.9 | $82.8 | -16% |
| 2022 | $82.8 | $49.0 | -41% |
| 2023 | $49.0 | $64.6 | +32% |
| 2024 | $64.6 | $62.1 | -3.9% |
| 2025 | $62.1 | $51.8 | -17% |
| 2026 YTD | $51.8 | $66.4 | +28% |
ALRM has the edge over PLTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PLTR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.20 | $27.8 | +202% |
| 2021 | $27.8 | $18.9 | -32% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $6.29 | -67% |
| 2023 | $6.29 | $17.2 | +173% |
| 2024 | $17.2 | $79.1 | +361% |
| 2025 | $79.1 | $188.7 | +139% |
| 2026 YTD | $188.7 | $171.6 | -9.1% |
PLTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +361% in 2024 to −67% in 2022. It's down 9.1% so far in 2026.