ALRM
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.
ALRM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
AMD has the edge over ALRM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
ALRM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
ALRM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
AMD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
ALRM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 22x | $66.42 | — |
| Cheap | 24x | $53.89 | -19% |
| Current | 29x | $66.42 | — |
| Fair | 45x | $103 | +55% |
| Expensive | 62x | $140 | +112% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ALRM has the edge over AMD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AMD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 39x | $585 | — |
| Cheap | 40x | $182 | -69% |
| Fair | 112x | $514 | -12% |
| Current | 127x | $585 | — |
| Expensive | 206x | $947 | +62% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
ALRM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ALRM, with profitability holding steady.
AMD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
AMD has the edge over ALRM on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
ALRM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.99 | +32% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.27 | -3.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | -5% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.41 | +1.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.46 | +7.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.36 | +2.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.38 | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.37 | +40% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.29 | +50% |
ALRM earned $2.27 per share over the past year, down 3.8% from the year before.
AMD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $15.05 | +227% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.60 | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.89 | +122% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.05 | +123% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.65 | +165% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.03 | +81% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.75 | +111% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.37 | +99% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.00 | +89% |
AMD has the edge over ALRM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ALRM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $279.4M | +9% |
| Q2 2026 | $277.7M | +9.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $265.2M | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $261.7M | +8% |
| Q3 2025 | $256.4M | +6.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $254.3M | +8.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $238.8M | +7% |
| Q4 2024 | $242.2M | +7.1% |
ALRM's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $279M last quarter, up 9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | +1.4 points |
ALRM's operating margin was 16% last quarter, up 1.3 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
AMD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.4B | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.5B | +50% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.3B | +38% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.3B | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.2B | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.7B | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.4B | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.7B | +24% |
AMD has the edge over ALRM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 21% | +7.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +19 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +3.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +5.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7% | -6.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +10 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +5.8 points |
AMD has the edge over ALRM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ALRM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $69.5M | +5.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $37M | +104% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.7M | +177% |
| Q4 2025 | $35.1M | -35% |
| Q3 2025 | $65.9M | -12% |
| Q2 2025 | $18.2M | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.9M | -62% |
| Q4 2024 | $54M | +43% |
ALRM generated $191M in free cash flow over the past year, up 23% from the year before.
AMD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $554M | -71% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B | -9.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +253% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.4B | +118% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B | +283% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B | +294% |
| Q1 2025 | $727M | +92% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | +351% |
AMD has the edge over ALRM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ALRM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +58K shares |
| 1 year | -4.2% | -2.5M shares |
| 3 years | +2.2% | +1.2M shares |
| 5 years | +8% | +4.1M shares |
| Available history | +11% | +5.7M shares |
ALRM has the edge over AMD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $25M |
| Q1 2026 | $20M |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $12.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $5.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $5.1M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
ALRM spent $78M buying back its own shares over the past year, about three times what it spent the year before.
AMD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +2M shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +20M shares |
| 3 years | +2% | +32M shares |
| 5 years | +35% | +431M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +473M shares |
AMD has 1.7B diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $221M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $89M |
| Q2 2025 | $478M |
| Q1 2025 | $749M |
| Q4 2024 | $256M |
AMD has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
ALRM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -6.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -6.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -8.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -8.9x | Net Cash |
ALRM has more cash than debt.
AMD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2020 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2020 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2019 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
AMD has more cash than debt.
ALRM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 74.2 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 80.3 | Overbought |
ALRM's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
AMD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.4 | Neutral |
AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
ALRM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ALRM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 28x | 5% above |
| PE % | 31 | 35 | 4 pts below |
ALRM has the edge over AMD on valuation relative to its sector.
AMD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AMD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 127x | 28x | 357% above |
| PE % | 61 | 35 | 26 pts above |
AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ALRM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $60.2 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $56.8 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $51.1 | 30% above |
| 100 week MA | $53.5 | 24% above |
| 200 week MA | $56.2 | 18% above |
ALRM has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 18% above its 200-week average.
AMD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $557.2 | 5.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $525.9 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $389.7 | 50% above |
| 100 week MA | $266.9 | 119% above |
| 200 week MA | $199.6 | 193% above |
AMD is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 193% above its 200-week average.
ALRM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $42.8 | $98.9 | +131% |
| 2021 | $98.9 | $82.8 | -16% |
| 2022 | $82.8 | $49.0 | -41% |
| 2023 | $49.0 | $64.6 | +32% |
| 2024 | $64.6 | $62.1 | -3.9% |
| 2025 | $62.1 | $51.8 | -17% |
| 2026 YTD | $51.8 | $66.4 | +28% |
ALRM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +131% in 2020 to −41% in 2022. It's up 28% so far in 2026.
AMD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $46.2 | $91.8 | +99% |
| 2021 | $91.8 | $146.1 | +59% |
| 2022 | $146.1 | $64.5 | -56% |
| 2023 | $64.5 | $147.4 | +128% |
| 2024 | $147.4 | $125.2 | -15% |
| 2025 | $125.2 | $215.0 | +72% |
| 2026 YTD | $215.0 | $585.3 | +172% |
AMD has the edge over ALRM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.