ALNY

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

65
Fundamentals91/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

ALNY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over ALNY overall on the model score.

ALNY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

ALNY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ALNY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE518x1036x1554x2072x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE518x1036x1554x2072x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8x$157—
Forward22x$157—
Cheap41x$800+411%
Fair76x$1,489+851%
Expensive1,731x$33,895+21538%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALNY has the edge over OSCR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ALNY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ALNY, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over ALNY on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

ALNY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$242.30
Downside-16%$132.22

Calculated from the latest close: $156.65 on Nov 12.

ALNY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails ALNY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALNY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.52Q1 2024: $-2.64Q2 2024: $-0.56Q3 2024: $-2.58Q4 2024: $-2.18Q1 2025: $-2.10Q2 2025: $-2.48Q3 2025: $0.23Q4 2025: $2.03Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $5.70Q3 2026: $19.58Forward: $7.04
Q4 2023: $-3.52Q1 2024: $-2.64Q2 2024: $-0.56Q3 2024: $-2.58Q4 2024: $-2.18Q1 2025: $-2.10Q2 2025: $-2.48Q3 2025: $0.23Q4 2025: $2.03Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $5.70Q3 2026: $19.58Forward: $7.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.04-64%
Q3 2026$19.58+8413%
Q2 2026$5.70+$8.18
Q1 2026$3.98+$6.08
Q4 2025$2.03+$4.21
Q3 2025$0.23+$2.81
Q2 2025-$2.48-$1.92
Q1 2025-$2.10+$0.54
Q4 2024-$2.18+$1.34

ALNY has the edge over OSCR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ALNY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $440MQ1 2024: $494MQ2 2024: $660MQ3 2024: $501MQ4 2024: $593MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $774MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $440MQ1 2024: $494MQ2 2024: $660MQ3 2024: $501MQ4 2024: $593MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $774MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+17%
Q2 2026$1.3B+67%
Q1 2026$1.2B+96%
Q4 2025$1.1B+85%
Q3 2025$1.2B+149%
Q2 2025$773.7M+17%
Q1 2025$594.2M+20%
Q4 2024$593.2M+35%

ALNY has the edge over OSCR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $5.1B last quarter, up 72% from the same quarter a year ago.

ALNY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$45MQ1 2024: −$94MQ2 2024: $116MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: −$104MQ1 2025: −$127MQ2 2025: $139MQ3 2025: $313MQ4 2025: $140MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $292MQ3 2026: $271M
Q4 2023: −$45MQ1 2024: −$94MQ2 2024: $116MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: −$104MQ1 2025: −$127MQ2 2025: $139MQ3 2025: $313MQ4 2025: $140MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $292MQ3 2026: $271M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$271.2M-13%
Q2 2026$292M+109%
Q1 2026$48.7M+$176M
Q4 2025$140.3M+$244M
Q3 2025$313M+692%
Q2 2025$139.4M+20%
Q1 2025-$127.3M-$32.8M
Q4 2024-$103.8M-$58.7M

ALNY has burned cash in most quarters: $752M over the past year, about three times what it generated the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over ALNY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALNY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 125MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 127MQ3 2024: 129MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 137MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 138MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 138M
Q4 2023: 125MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 127MQ3 2024: 129MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 137MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 138MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 138M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-241K shares
1 year+0.5%+692K shares
3 years+5.1%+6.7M shares
5 years+16%+18.9M shares
Available history+24%+26.3M shares

ALNY has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

ALNY Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -6.1xQ3 2025: -4.6xQ4 2025: -3.0xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q2 2024: -6.1xQ3 2025: -4.6xQ4 2025: -3.0xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.6xNet Cash
Q2 2024-6.1xNet Cash

ALNY has more cash than debt.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over ALNY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ALNY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.6Oversold
Stochastic2.9Oversold

ALNY's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

ALNY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricALNYSector medianRelative
PE8x26x69% below
PE %22927 pts below

ALNY has the edge over OSCR on valuation relative to its sector.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

ALNY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$205.224% below
20 week MA$233.733% below
50 week MA$293.047% below
100 week MA$314.650% below
200 week MA$257.739% below

ALNY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 39% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over ALNY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALNY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$117.5$137.6+17%
2021$137.6$194.4+41%
2022$194.4$237.9+22%
2023$237.9$191.4-20%
2024$191.4$238.0+24%
2025$238.0$400.6+68%
2026 YTD$400.6$156.7-61%

ALNY is down 61% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over ALNY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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