ALLE

Allegion plc

63
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

ALLE's fundamentals are strong: it turned 17% of its revenue into free cash flow and revenue grew 10%. At 24x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 22x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

ALLE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

ALLE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ALLE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$154-19%
Forward19x$190—
Fair22x$174-8.6%
Current24x$190—
Expensive29x$233+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALLE's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ALLE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ALLE, with profitability improving.

ALLE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$218.03
Downside-16%$159.58

Calculated from the latest close: $190.07 on Nov 12.

ALLE's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +15% against −16%.

ALLE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.12Q1 2024: $6.13Q2 2024: $6.29Q3 2024: $6.51Q4 2024: $6.82Q1 2025: $7.12Q2 2025: $7.20Q3 2025: $7.39Q4 2025: $7.44Q1 2026: $7.32Q2 2026: $7.62Q3 2026: $8.03Forward: $9.92
Q4 2023: $6.12Q1 2024: $6.13Q2 2024: $6.29Q3 2024: $6.51Q4 2024: $6.82Q1 2025: $7.12Q2 2025: $7.20Q3 2025: $7.39Q4 2025: $7.44Q1 2026: $7.32Q2 2026: $7.62Q3 2026: $8.03Forward: $9.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.92+24%
Q3 2026$8.03+8.7%
Q2 2026$7.62+5.8%
Q1 2026$7.32+2.8%
Q4 2025$7.44+9.1%
Q3 2025$7.39+14%
Q2 2025$7.20+14%
Q1 2025$7.12+16%
Q4 2024$6.82+11%

ALLE's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $8.03 over the past year, up 8.7% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

ALLE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $897MQ1 2024: $894MQ2 2024: $966MQ3 2024: $967MQ4 2024: $946MQ1 2025: $942MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $897MQ1 2024: $894MQ2 2024: $966MQ3 2024: $967MQ4 2024: $946MQ1 2025: $942MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+9.6%
Q2 2026$1.2B+13%
Q1 2026$1B+9.7%
Q4 2025$1B+9.3%
Q3 2025$1.1B+11%
Q2 2025$1B+5.8%
Q1 2025$941.9M+5.4%
Q4 2024$945.6M+5.4%

ALLE's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $1.2B last quarter, up 9.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

ALLE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $196MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $152MQ3 2024: $212MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $192MQ3 2025: $210MQ4 2025: $201MQ1 2026: $80MQ2 2026: $181MQ3 2026: $279M
Q4 2023: $196MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $152MQ3 2024: $212MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $192MQ3 2025: $210MQ4 2025: $201MQ1 2026: $80MQ2 2026: $181MQ3 2026: $279M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$278.6M+33%
Q2 2026$180.5M-6%
Q1 2026$80.3M-3.7%
Q4 2025$200.5M+2.9%
Q3 2025$209.8M-1%
Q2 2025$192M+26%
Q1 2025$83.4M+249%
Q4 2024$194.9M-0.6%

ALLE's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $740M over the past year, up 8.8% from the year before.

ALLE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 88MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 86MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 87MQ2 2026: 86MQ3 2026: 85M
Q4 2023: 88MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 86MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 87MQ2 2026: 86MQ3 2026: 85M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-800K shares
1 year-1.5%-1.3M shares
3 years-3.4%-3M shares
5 years-5.6%-5.1M shares
Available history-9.7%-9.1M shares

ALLE has 85M diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago, with $280M in buybacks over the past year.

ALLE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.5x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.5xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20251.9xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.6xHealthy
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

ALLE's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.9 years a year ago.

ALLE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI73.1Overbought
Stochastic88.2Overbought

ALLE's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

ALLE PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricALLESector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.5% below
PE %66588 pts above

ALLE is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

ALLE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$169.612% above
20 week MA$159.919% above
50 week MA$153.924% above
100 week MA$151.026% above
200 week MA$135.940% above

ALLE is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.

ALLE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$124.6$113.0-9.3%
2021$113.0$127.3+13%
2022$127.3$105.0-17%
2023$105.0$126.7+21%
2024$126.7$132.0+4.2%
2025$132.0$160.8+22%
2026 YTD$160.8$190.1+18%

ALLE has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 18% so far in 2026.

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