ALKT

Alkami Technology, Inc.

64
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

ALKT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over ALKT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ALKT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong

ALKT's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ALKT PE Valuation

ALKT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

ALKT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

ALKT has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

ALKT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+58%$22.01
Downside-36%$8.96

Calculated from the latest close: $13.94 on Nov 12.

ALKT trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALKT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ALKT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.67Q1 2024: $-0.61Q2 2024: $-0.55Q3 2024: $-0.48Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.42Q4 2025: $-0.46Q1 2026: $-0.47Q2 2026: $-0.42Q3 2026: $-0.34Forward: $1.03
Q4 2023: $-0.67Q1 2024: $-0.61Q2 2024: $-0.55Q3 2024: $-0.48Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.42Q4 2025: $-0.46Q1 2026: $-0.47Q2 2026: $-0.42Q3 2026: $-0.34Forward: $1.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.03—
Q3 2026-$0.34+$0.08
Q2 2026-$0.42-$0.05
Q1 2026-$0.47-$0.10
Q4 2025-$0.46-$0.05
Q3 2025-$0.42+$0.06
Q2 2025-$0.37+$0.18
Q1 2025-$0.37+$0.24
Q4 2024-$0.41+$0.26

ALKT is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.34 per share over the past year, against $0.67 at its worst in early 2023.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over ALKT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ALKT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $86MQ4 2024: $90MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $126MQ2 2026: $130MQ3 2026: $135M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $86MQ4 2024: $90MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $126MQ2 2026: $130MQ3 2026: $135M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$134.9M+19%
Q2 2026$129.8M+16%
Q1 2026$126.1M+29%
Q4 2025$120.8M+35%
Q3 2025$113M+31%
Q2 2025$112.1M+36%
Q1 2025$97.8M+29%
Q4 2024$89.7M+26%

ALKT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $135M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over ALKT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ALKT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: $645,000Q2 2024: $123,000Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $760,000Q3 2025: $31MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: $645,000Q2 2024: $123,000Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $760,000Q3 2025: $31MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4M-30%
Q2 2026$21.6M+2747%
Q1 2026-$5.2M+$962K
Q4 2025$16.2M+173%
Q3 2025$30.5M+186%
Q2 2025$760K+518%
Q1 2025-$6.1M-1053%
Q4 2024$6M+$11.5M

ALKT has burned cash in most quarters: $54M over the past year, up 74% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over ALKT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALKT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 107M
Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 107M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-235K shares
1 year+2.2%+2.3M shares
3 years+13%+12M shares
5 years+42%+31.8M shares
Available history+28%+23.5M shares

ALKT has 107M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over ALKT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ALKT Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -14.7x
Q3 2026: -14.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-14.7xNet Cash

ALKT has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

ALKT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic12.8Oversold

ALKT's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

ALKT PE vs Technology Sector

ALKT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ALKT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.90% above
20 week MA$17.118% below
50 week MA$17.721% below
100 week MA$22.638% below
200 week MA$22.939% below

ALKT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 39% below its 200-week average.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

ALKT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$42.1$19.7-53%
2022$19.7$13.6-31%
2023$13.6$24.3+78%
2024$24.3$38.5+59%
2025$38.5$23.1-40%
2026 YTD$23.1$13.9-40%

ALKT has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over ALKT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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