ALKT

Alkami Technology, Inc.

64
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

ALKT offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over ALKT overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ALKT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong

ALKT's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ALKT PE Valuation

ALKT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

ALKT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

ALKT has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

ALKT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+58%$22.01
Downside-36%$8.96

Calculated from the latest close: $13.94 on Nov 12.

ALKT trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALKT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALKT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.67Q1 2024: $-0.61Q2 2024: $-0.55Q3 2024: $-0.48Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.42Q4 2025: $-0.46Q1 2026: $-0.47Q2 2026: $-0.42Q3 2026: $-0.34Forward: $1.03
Q4 2023: $-0.67Q1 2024: $-0.61Q2 2024: $-0.55Q3 2024: $-0.48Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.42Q4 2025: $-0.46Q1 2026: $-0.47Q2 2026: $-0.42Q3 2026: $-0.34Forward: $1.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.03—
Q3 2026-$0.34+$0.08
Q2 2026-$0.42-$0.05
Q1 2026-$0.47-$0.10
Q4 2025-$0.46-$0.05
Q3 2025-$0.42+$0.06
Q2 2025-$0.37+$0.18
Q1 2025-$0.37+$0.24
Q4 2024-$0.41+$0.26

ALKT is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.34 per share over the past year, against $0.67 at its worst in early 2023.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over ALKT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ALKT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $86MQ4 2024: $90MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $126MQ2 2026: $130MQ3 2026: $135M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $86MQ4 2024: $90MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $126MQ2 2026: $130MQ3 2026: $135M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$134.9M+19%
Q2 2026$129.8M+16%
Q1 2026$126.1M+29%
Q4 2025$120.8M+35%
Q3 2025$113M+31%
Q2 2025$112.1M+36%
Q1 2025$97.8M+29%
Q4 2024$89.7M+26%

ALKT has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

ALKT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: $645,000Q2 2024: $123,000Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $760,000Q3 2025: $31MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: $645,000Q2 2024: $123,000Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $760,000Q3 2025: $31MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4M-30%
Q2 2026$21.6M+2747%
Q1 2026-$5.2M+$962K
Q4 2025$16.2M+173%
Q3 2025$30.5M+186%
Q2 2025$760K+518%
Q1 2025-$6.1M-1053%
Q4 2024$6M+$11.5M

ALKT has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

ALKT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 107M
Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 107M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-235K shares
1 year+2.2%+2.3M shares
3 years+13%+12M shares
5 years+42%+31.8M shares
Available history+28%+23.5M shares

ALKT has 107M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over ALKT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ALKT Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -14.7x
Q3 2026: -14.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-14.7xNet Cash

ALKT has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ALKT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic12.8Oversold

ALKT's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

ALKT PE vs Technology Sector

ALKT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ALKT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.90% above
20 week MA$17.118% below
50 week MA$17.721% below
100 week MA$22.638% below
200 week MA$22.939% below

ALKT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 39% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over ALKT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALKT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$42.1$19.7-53%
2022$19.7$13.6-31%
2023$13.6$24.3+78%
2024$24.3$38.5+59%
2025$38.5$23.1-40%
2026 YTD$23.1$13.9-40%

ALKT has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over ALKT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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