ALKT

Alkami Technology, Inc.

64
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

ALKT has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ALKT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong

ALKT's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ALKT PE Valuation

ALKT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALKT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ALKT, with profitability improving.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ALKT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+58%$22.01
Downside-36%$8.96

Calculated from the latest close: $13.94 on Nov 12.

ALKT trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALKT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALKT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.67Q1 2024: $-0.61Q2 2024: $-0.55Q3 2024: $-0.48Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.42Q4 2025: $-0.46Q1 2026: $-0.47Q2 2026: $-0.42Q3 2026: $-0.34Forward: $1.03
Q4 2023: $-0.67Q1 2024: $-0.61Q2 2024: $-0.55Q3 2024: $-0.48Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.42Q4 2025: $-0.46Q1 2026: $-0.47Q2 2026: $-0.42Q3 2026: $-0.34Forward: $1.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.03—
Q3 2026-$0.34+$0.08
Q2 2026-$0.42-$0.05
Q1 2026-$0.47-$0.10
Q4 2025-$0.46-$0.05
Q3 2025-$0.42+$0.06
Q2 2025-$0.37+$0.18
Q1 2025-$0.37+$0.24
Q4 2024-$0.41+$0.26

ALKT has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

ALKT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $86MQ4 2024: $90MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $126MQ2 2026: $130MQ3 2026: $135M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $86MQ4 2024: $90MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $126MQ2 2026: $130MQ3 2026: $135M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$134.9M+19%
Q2 2026$129.8M+16%
Q1 2026$126.1M+29%
Q4 2025$120.8M+35%
Q3 2025$113M+31%
Q2 2025$112.1M+36%
Q1 2025$97.8M+29%
Q4 2024$89.7M+26%

ALKT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $135M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

ALKT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: $645,000Q2 2024: $123,000Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $760,000Q3 2025: $31MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: $645,000Q2 2024: $123,000Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $760,000Q3 2025: $31MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4M-30%
Q2 2026$21.6M+2747%
Q1 2026-$5.2M+$962K
Q4 2025$16.2M+173%
Q3 2025$30.5M+186%
Q2 2025$760K+518%
Q1 2025-$6.1M-1053%
Q4 2024$6M+$11.5M

ALKT has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

ALKT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 107M
Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 107M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-235K shares
1 year+2.2%+2.3M shares
3 years+13%+12M shares
5 years+42%+31.8M shares
Available history+28%+23.5M shares

ALKT has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

ALKT Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -14.7x
Q3 2026: -14.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-14.7xNet Cash

ALKT has more cash than debt.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ALKT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic12.8Oversold

ALKT's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ALKT PE vs Technology Sector

ALKT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALKT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.90% above
20 week MA$17.118% below
50 week MA$17.721% below
100 week MA$22.638% below
200 week MA$22.939% below

ALKT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 39% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

ALKT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$42.1$19.7-53%
2022$19.7$13.6-31%
2023$13.6$24.3+78%
2024$24.3$38.5+59%
2025$38.5$23.1-40%
2026 YTD$23.1$13.9-40%

ALKT has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key