ALKS

Alkermes plc

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

ALKS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over ALKS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

ALKS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

ALKS's revenue is currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ALKS PE Valuation

ALKS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ALKS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ALKS's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over ALKS on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ALKS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$61.42
Downside-23%$36.18

Calculated from the latest close: $46.98 on Nov 12.

ALKS trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALKS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALKS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.10Q1 2024: $2.56Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.98Q4 2024: $2.17Q1 2025: $2.09Q2 2025: $2.08Q3 2025: $2.02Q4 2025: $1.43Q1 2026: $0.90Q2 2026: $0.38Q3 2026: $-0.02
Q4 2023: $2.10Q1 2024: $2.56Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.98Q4 2024: $2.17Q1 2025: $2.09Q2 2025: $2.08Q3 2025: $2.02Q4 2025: $1.43Q1 2026: $0.90Q2 2026: $0.38Q3 2026: $-0.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.02-101%
Q2 2026$0.38-82%
Q1 2026$0.90-57%
Q4 2025$1.43-34%
Q3 2025$2.02+2%
Q2 2025$2.08+22%
Q1 2025$2.09-18%
Q4 2024$2.17+3.3%

ALKS has swung to a loss: it lost $0.02 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over ALKS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ALKS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $377MQ1 2024: $350MQ2 2024: $399MQ3 2024: $378MQ4 2024: $430MQ1 2025: $307MQ2 2025: $391MQ3 2025: $394MQ4 2025: $385MQ1 2026: $393MQ2 2026: $496MQ3 2026: $480M
Q4 2023: $377MQ1 2024: $350MQ2 2024: $399MQ3 2024: $378MQ4 2024: $430MQ1 2025: $307MQ2 2025: $391MQ3 2025: $394MQ4 2025: $385MQ1 2026: $393MQ2 2026: $496MQ3 2026: $480M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$480.1M+22%
Q2 2026$496M+27%
Q1 2026$392.9M+28%
Q4 2025$384.5M-11%
Q3 2025$394.2M+4.2%
Q2 2025$390.7M-2.1%
Q1 2025$306.5M-13%
Q4 2024$430M+14%

ALKS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $480M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over ALKS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALKS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $181MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $137MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $170MQ1 2026: −$170MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $90M
Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $181MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $137MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $170MQ1 2026: −$170MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $90M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$90.1M+6.8%
Q2 2026$137M-0.1%
Q1 2026-$169.8M-291%
Q4 2025$170.1M-5.8%
Q3 2025$84.4M+15%
Q2 2025$137.2M-1.2%
Q1 2025$88.7M+595%
Q4 2024$180.6M+100%

ALKS still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $227M over the past year.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over ALKS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALKS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 173MQ2 2024: 171MQ3 2024: 167MQ4 2024: 169MQ1 2025: 169MQ2 2025: 168MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ1 2026: 166MQ2 2026: 173MQ3 2026: 176M
Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 173MQ2 2024: 171MQ3 2024: 167MQ4 2024: 169MQ1 2025: 169MQ2 2025: 168MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ1 2026: 166MQ2 2026: 173MQ3 2026: 176M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.7%+2.9M shares
1 year+4.7%+7.9M shares
3 years+2.6%+4.5M shares
5 years+9.2%+14.9M shares
Available history+12%+19.3M shares

ALKS has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

ALKS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 5.5xQ3 2026: 6.0x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 5.5xQ3 2026: 6.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.0xHigh
Q2 20265.5xHigh
Q1 20265.0xHigh
Q4 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

ALKS's net debt is about 6.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over ALKS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ALKS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.9Neutral
Stochastic53.5Neutral

ALKS's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

ALKS PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricALKSSector medianRelative
PE119x26x362% above
PE %962967 pts above

ALKS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR has the edge over ALKS on valuation relative to its sector.

ALKS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$43.38.5% above
20 week MA$46.80.3% above
50 week MA$39.220% above
100 week MA$34.735% above
200 week MA$31.251% above

ALKS is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% above its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 106% above its 200-week average.

ALKS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.4$21.5+5%
2021$21.5$24.1+12%
2022$24.1$25.5+5.8%
2023$25.5$27.7+8.8%
2024$27.7$29.6+6.5%
2025$29.6$28.5-3.6%
2026 YTD$28.5$47.0+65%

ALKS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 65% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over ALKS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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