ALIT

Alight, Inc.

37
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

ALIT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over ALIT overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ALIT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

ALIT's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ALIT PE Valuation

ALIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

ALIT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ALIT's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over ALIT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

ALIT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+119%$27.46
Downside-55%$5.69

Calculated from the latest close: $12.52 on Nov 12.

ALIT trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALIT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALIT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-14.00Q1 2024: $-15.40Q2 2024: $-11.80Q3 2024: $-12.60Q4 2024: $-5.80Q1 2025: $-2.60Q2 2025: $-44.00Q3 2025: $-81.60Q4 2025: $-117.40Q1 2026: $-117.20Q2 2026: $-76.98Q3 2026: $-38.51Forward: $3.79
Q4 2023: $-14.00Q1 2024: $-15.40Q2 2024: $-11.80Q3 2024: $-12.60Q4 2024: $-5.80Q1 2025: $-2.60Q2 2025: $-44.00Q3 2025: $-81.60Q4 2025: $-117.40Q1 2026: $-117.20Q2 2026: $-76.98Q3 2026: $-38.51Forward: $3.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.79—
Q3 2026-$38.51+$43.09
Q2 2026-$76.98-$32.98
Q1 2026-$117.20-$114.60
Q4 2025-$117.40-$111.60
Q3 2025-$81.60-$69.00
Q2 2025-$44.00-$32.20
Q1 2025-$2.60+$12.80
Q4 2024-$5.80+$8.20

ALIT lost $38.51 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over ALIT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ALIT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $559MQ2 2024: $538MQ3 2024: $555MQ4 2024: $680MQ1 2025: $548MQ2 2025: $528MQ3 2025: $533MQ4 2025: $653MQ1 2026: $534MQ2 2026: $511MQ3 2026: $500M
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $559MQ2 2024: $538MQ3 2024: $555MQ4 2024: $680MQ1 2025: $548MQ2 2025: $528MQ3 2025: $533MQ4 2025: $653MQ1 2026: $534MQ2 2026: $511MQ3 2026: $500M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$500M-6.2%
Q2 2026$511M-3.2%
Q1 2026$534M-2.6%
Q4 2025$653M-4%
Q3 2025$533M-4%
Q2 2025$528M-1.9%
Q1 2025$548M-2%
Q4 2024$680M-29%

ALIT's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $500M last quarter, down 6.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over ALIT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALIT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: −$52MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $7M
Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: −$52MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7M-86%
Q2 2026$48M-17%
Q1 2026$53M+20%
Q4 2025$99M+7.6%
Q3 2025$49M+$101M
Q2 2025$58M+115%
Q1 2025$44M-31%
Q4 2024$92M-9.8%

ALIT has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

ALIT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+70.7K shares
1 year+0.4%+92.9K shares
3 years+7.1%+1.8M shares
5 years+20%+4.5M shares
Available history+323%+20.2M shares

ALIT has 26M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over ALIT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ALIT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 12.5xQ2 2024: 16.3xQ3 2024: 15.6xQ4 2024: 8.1xQ1 2025: 7.5x
Q4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 12.5xQ2 2024: 16.3xQ3 2024: 15.6xQ4 2024: 8.1xQ1 2025: 7.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20257.5xHigh
Q4 20248.1xHigh
Q3 202415.6xHigh
Q2 202416.3xHigh
Q1 202412.5xHigh
Q4 202310.2xHigh
Q3 20237.0xHigh
Q2 20238.0xHigh

ALIT's net debt is about 7.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ALIT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic33.2Neutral

ALIT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

ALIT PE vs Technology Sector

ALIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ALIT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.322% above
20 week MA$13.57.1% below
50 week MA$18.733% below
100 week MA$59.379% below
200 week MA$111.989% below

ALIT has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 89% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over ALIT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALIT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$184.4$215.0+17%
2022$215.0$164.2-24%
2023$164.2$170.6+3.9%
2024$170.6$138.2-19%
2025$138.2$39.4-71%
2026 YTD$39.4$12.5-68%

ALIT has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over ALIT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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