ALIT

Alight, Inc.

37
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

ALIT offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over ALIT overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ALIT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

ALIT's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

ALIT PE Valuation

ALIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALIT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ALIT's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over ALIT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

ALIT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+119%$27.46
Downside-55%$5.69

Calculated from the latest close: $12.52 on Nov 12.

ALIT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails ALIT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALIT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-14.00Q1 2024: $-15.40Q2 2024: $-11.80Q3 2024: $-12.60Q4 2024: $-5.80Q1 2025: $-2.60Q2 2025: $-44.00Q3 2025: $-81.60Q4 2025: $-117.40Q1 2026: $-117.20Q2 2026: $-76.98Q3 2026: $-38.51Forward: $3.79
Q4 2023: $-14.00Q1 2024: $-15.40Q2 2024: $-11.80Q3 2024: $-12.60Q4 2024: $-5.80Q1 2025: $-2.60Q2 2025: $-44.00Q3 2025: $-81.60Q4 2025: $-117.40Q1 2026: $-117.20Q2 2026: $-76.98Q3 2026: $-38.51Forward: $3.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.79—
Q3 2026-$38.51+$43.09
Q2 2026-$76.98-$32.98
Q1 2026-$117.20-$114.60
Q4 2025-$117.40-$111.60
Q3 2025-$81.60-$69.00
Q2 2025-$44.00-$32.20
Q1 2025-$2.60+$12.80
Q4 2024-$5.80+$8.20

ALIT lost $38.51 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has the edge over ALIT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALIT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $559MQ2 2024: $538MQ3 2024: $555MQ4 2024: $680MQ1 2025: $548MQ2 2025: $528MQ3 2025: $533MQ4 2025: $653MQ1 2026: $534MQ2 2026: $511MQ3 2026: $500M
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $559MQ2 2024: $538MQ3 2024: $555MQ4 2024: $680MQ1 2025: $548MQ2 2025: $528MQ3 2025: $533MQ4 2025: $653MQ1 2026: $534MQ2 2026: $511MQ3 2026: $500M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$500M-6.2%
Q2 2026$511M-3.2%
Q1 2026$534M-2.6%
Q4 2025$653M-4%
Q3 2025$533M-4%
Q2 2025$528M-1.9%
Q1 2025$548M-2%
Q4 2024$680M-29%

ALIT's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $500M last quarter, down 6.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC has the edge over ALIT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALIT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: −$52MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $7M
Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: −$52MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7M-86%
Q2 2026$48M-17%
Q1 2026$53M+20%
Q4 2025$99M+7.6%
Q3 2025$49M+$101M
Q2 2025$58M+115%
Q1 2025$44M-31%
Q4 2024$92M-9.8%

ALIT generated $207M in free cash flow over the past year, down 15% from the year before.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over ALIT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALIT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+70.7K shares
1 year+0.4%+92.9K shares
3 years+7.1%+1.8M shares
5 years+20%+4.5M shares
Available history+323%+20.2M shares

ALIT has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

ALIT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 12.5xQ2 2024: 16.3xQ3 2024: 15.6xQ4 2024: 8.1xQ1 2025: 7.5x
Q4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 12.5xQ2 2024: 16.3xQ3 2024: 15.6xQ4 2024: 8.1xQ1 2025: 7.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20257.5xHigh
Q4 20248.1xHigh
Q3 202415.6xHigh
Q2 202416.3xHigh
Q1 202412.5xHigh
Q4 202310.2xHigh
Q3 20237.0xHigh
Q2 20238.0xHigh

ALIT's net debt is about 7.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

ALIT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic33.2Neutral

ALIT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

ALIT PE vs Technology Sector

ALIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALIT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.322% above
20 week MA$13.57.1% below
50 week MA$18.733% below
100 week MA$59.379% below
200 week MA$111.989% below

ALIT has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 89% below its 200-week average.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has the edge over ALIT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALIT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$184.4$215.0+17%
2022$215.0$164.2-24%
2023$164.2$170.6+3.9%
2024$170.6$138.2-19%
2025$138.2$39.4-71%
2026 YTD$39.4$12.5-68%

ALIT has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over ALIT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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