ALIT

Alight, Inc.

37
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

ALIT offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has the edge over ALIT overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ALIT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

ALIT's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ALIT PE Valuation

ALIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALIT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ALIT's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ALIT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+119%$27.46
Downside-55%$5.69

Calculated from the latest close: $12.52 on Nov 12.

ALIT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails ALIT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALIT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-14.00Q1 2024: $-15.40Q2 2024: $-11.80Q3 2024: $-12.60Q4 2024: $-5.80Q1 2025: $-2.60Q2 2025: $-44.00Q3 2025: $-81.60Q4 2025: $-117.40Q1 2026: $-117.20Q2 2026: $-76.98Q3 2026: $-38.51Forward: $3.79
Q4 2023: $-14.00Q1 2024: $-15.40Q2 2024: $-11.80Q3 2024: $-12.60Q4 2024: $-5.80Q1 2025: $-2.60Q2 2025: $-44.00Q3 2025: $-81.60Q4 2025: $-117.40Q1 2026: $-117.20Q2 2026: $-76.98Q3 2026: $-38.51Forward: $3.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.79—
Q3 2026-$38.51+$43.09
Q2 2026-$76.98-$32.98
Q1 2026-$117.20-$114.60
Q4 2025-$117.40-$111.60
Q3 2025-$81.60-$69.00
Q2 2025-$44.00-$32.20
Q1 2025-$2.60+$12.80
Q4 2024-$5.80+$8.20

ALIT lost $38.51 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

ALIT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $559MQ2 2024: $538MQ3 2024: $555MQ4 2024: $680MQ1 2025: $548MQ2 2025: $528MQ3 2025: $533MQ4 2025: $653MQ1 2026: $534MQ2 2026: $511MQ3 2026: $500M
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $559MQ2 2024: $538MQ3 2024: $555MQ4 2024: $680MQ1 2025: $548MQ2 2025: $528MQ3 2025: $533MQ4 2025: $653MQ1 2026: $534MQ2 2026: $511MQ3 2026: $500M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$500M-6.2%
Q2 2026$511M-3.2%
Q1 2026$534M-2.6%
Q4 2025$653M-4%
Q3 2025$533M-4%
Q2 2025$528M-1.9%
Q1 2025$548M-2%
Q4 2024$680M-29%

ALIT's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $500M last quarter, down 6.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over ALIT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALIT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: −$52MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $7M
Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: −$52MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7M-86%
Q2 2026$48M-17%
Q1 2026$53M+20%
Q4 2025$99M+7.6%
Q3 2025$49M+$101M
Q2 2025$58M+115%
Q1 2025$44M-31%
Q4 2024$92M-9.8%

ALIT has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

ALIT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+70.7K shares
1 year+0.4%+92.9K shares
3 years+7.1%+1.8M shares
5 years+20%+4.5M shares
Available history+323%+20.2M shares

ALIT has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

ALIT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 12.5xQ2 2024: 16.3xQ3 2024: 15.6xQ4 2024: 8.1xQ1 2025: 7.5x
Q4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 12.5xQ2 2024: 16.3xQ3 2024: 15.6xQ4 2024: 8.1xQ1 2025: 7.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20257.5xHigh
Q4 20248.1xHigh
Q3 202415.6xHigh
Q2 202416.3xHigh
Q1 202412.5xHigh
Q4 202310.2xHigh
Q3 20237.0xHigh
Q2 20238.0xHigh

ALIT's net debt is about 7.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ALIT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic33.2Neutral

ALIT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ALIT PE vs Technology Sector

ALIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALIT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.322% above
20 week MA$13.57.1% below
50 week MA$18.733% below
100 week MA$59.379% below
200 week MA$111.989% below

ALIT has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 89% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

ALIT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$184.4$215.0+17%
2022$215.0$164.2-24%
2023$164.2$170.6+3.9%
2024$170.6$138.2-19%
2025$138.2$39.4-71%
2026 YTD$39.4$12.5-68%

ALIT has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS has the edge over ALIT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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