ALH
Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.
ALH has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ALH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
ALH's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
ALH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $23.76 | — |
| Current | 22x | $23.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $24.76 | +4.2% |
| Fair | 34x | $36.41 | +53% |
| Expensive | 39x | $41.62 | +75% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ALH has the edge over NKE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.
ALH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
ALH has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ALH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.44 | +36% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.06 | +89% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.93 | +174% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.73 | +87% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.59 | +34% |
ALH has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
ALH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $460.9M | +5.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $476.8M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $426.9M | +9.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $434.9M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $437.6M | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $418.4M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $389.6M | +6.9% |
ALH has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 22% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -2.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | +0.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | N/A |
ALH has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
ALH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $57.6M | +238% |
| Q1 2026 | $74.7M | +338% |
| Q4 2025 | $71M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $17.1M | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.1M | +30% |
ALH has the edge over NKE in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
ALH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | +15% | +27M shares |
ALH has 202M diluted shares, up 15% from a year ago, despite $75M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $75M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3M |
| Q3 2024 | $634.1M |
ALH spent $75M buying back its own shares over the past year.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over ALH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
ALH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | 8.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 8.6x | High |
ALH has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
ALH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 30.9 | Neutral |
ALH's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
ALH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ALH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 25% above |
| PE % | 0 | 12 | 12 pts below |
ALH is trading at 22x earnings, a 25% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over ALH on valuation relative to its sector.
ALH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $21.9 | 8.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $23.6 | 0.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $23.2 | 2.2% above |
ALH has stronger trend alignment. ALH is above 3 of 3 weekly averages versus NKE above 1 of 5.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
ALH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $25.0 | $21.4 | -15% |
| 2026 YTD | $21.4 | $23.8 | +11% |
ALH has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.