ALGM

Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.

57
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation10/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

ALGM's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over ALGM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ALGM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ALGM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ALGM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE165x330x495x660x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE165x330x495x660x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap25x$3.95-88%
Forward25x$31.71—
Fair42x$6.66-79%
Expensive60x$9.54-70%
Current198x$31.71—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALGM's PE is in its expensive range at 198x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over ALGM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ALGM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

ALGM has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

ALGM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$46.05
Downside-31%$21.81

Calculated from the latest close: $31.71 on Nov 12.

ALGM trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALGM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ALGM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.15Q1 2024: $0.78Q2 2024: $0.38Q3 2024: $-0.14Q4 2024: $-0.35Q1 2025: $-0.39Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.08Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.07Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $1.15Q1 2024: $0.78Q2 2024: $0.38Q3 2024: $-0.14Q4 2024: $-0.35Q1 2025: $-0.39Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.08Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.07Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27+696%
Q3 2026$0.16+$0.32
Q2 2026$0.07+$0.44
Q1 2026-$0.08+$0.31
Q4 2025-$0.08+$0.27
Q3 2025-$0.16-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.37-197%
Q1 2025-$0.39-150%
Q4 2024-$0.35-130%

ALGM has returned to profit: it earned $0.16 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over ALGM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALGM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $255MQ1 2024: $241MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $187MQ4 2024: $178MQ1 2025: $193MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $259MQ3 2026: $277M
Q4 2023: $255MQ1 2024: $241MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $187MQ4 2024: $178MQ1 2025: $193MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $259MQ3 2026: $277M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$276.9M+29%
Q2 2026$259.2M+27%
Q1 2026$243.2M+26%
Q4 2025$229.2M+29%
Q3 2025$214.3M+14%
Q2 2025$203.4M+22%
Q1 2025$192.8M-20%
Q4 2024$177.9M-30%

ALGM's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $277M last quarter, up 29% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over ALGM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALGM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: −$22MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $31M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: −$22MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $31M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$30.5M+119%
Q2 2026$14M-73%
Q1 2026$18.7M+25%
Q4 2025$41.3M+$63.1M
Q3 2025$13.9M+150%
Q2 2025$51M+120%
Q1 2025$15M+$16.5M
Q4 2024-$21.8M-157%

ALGM generated $104M in free cash flow over the past year, up 80% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over ALGM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALGM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 195MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 193MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 184MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 185MQ3 2025: 186MQ4 2025: 186MQ1 2026: 185MQ2 2026: 188MQ3 2026: 188M
Q4 2023: 195MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 193MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 184MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 185MQ3 2025: 186MQ4 2025: 186MQ1 2026: 185MQ2 2026: 188MQ3 2026: 188M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-52.6K shares
1 year+0.8%+1.4M shares
3 years-3.8%-7.4M shares
5 years-2.1%-4M shares
Available history0%-32.5K shares

ALGM has 188M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over ALGM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ALGM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20252.0xModerate
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20255.0xHigh
Q4 20243.0xModerate

ALGM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over ALGM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ALGM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.3Neutral
Stochastic13.9Oversold

ALGM's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

ALGM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricALGMSector medianRelative
PE198x28x611% above
PE %913853 pts above

ALGM is trading at 198x earnings, a 611% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over ALGM on valuation relative to its sector.

ALGM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$33.24.4% below
20 week MA$38.918% below
50 week MA$38.718% below
100 week MA$32.93.7% below
200 week MA$32.42.2% below

ALGM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 2.2% below its 200-week average.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has the edge over ALGM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALGM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.3$24.8+35%
2021$24.8$34.5+39%
2022$34.5$30.2-12%
2023$30.2$30.3+0.1%
2024$30.3$22.3-26%
2025$22.3$26.9+21%
2026 YTD$26.9$31.7+18%

ALGM has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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