ALGM

Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.

57
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation10/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

ALGM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over ALGM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ALGM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ALGM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

ALGM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE165x330x495x660x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE165x330x495x660x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap25x$3.95-88%
Forward25x$31.71—
Fair42x$6.66-79%
Expensive60x$9.54-70%
Current198x$31.71—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALGM's PE is in its expensive range at 198x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALGM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ALGM, with profitability improving.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ALGM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$46.05
Downside-31%$21.81

Calculated from the latest close: $31.71 on Nov 12.

ALGM trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALGM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALGM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.15Q1 2024: $0.78Q2 2024: $0.38Q3 2024: $-0.14Q4 2024: $-0.35Q1 2025: $-0.39Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.08Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.07Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $1.15Q1 2024: $0.78Q2 2024: $0.38Q3 2024: $-0.14Q4 2024: $-0.35Q1 2025: $-0.39Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.08Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.07Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27+696%
Q3 2026$0.16+$0.32
Q2 2026$0.07+$0.44
Q1 2026-$0.08+$0.31
Q4 2025-$0.08+$0.27
Q3 2025-$0.16-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.37-197%
Q1 2025-$0.39-150%
Q4 2024-$0.35-130%

ALGM has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ALGM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $255MQ1 2024: $241MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $187MQ4 2024: $178MQ1 2025: $193MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $259MQ3 2026: $277M
Q4 2023: $255MQ1 2024: $241MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $187MQ4 2024: $178MQ1 2025: $193MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $259MQ3 2026: $277M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$276.9M+29%
Q2 2026$259.2M+27%
Q1 2026$243.2M+26%
Q4 2025$229.2M+29%
Q3 2025$214.3M+14%
Q2 2025$203.4M+22%
Q1 2025$192.8M-20%
Q4 2024$177.9M-30%

ALGM has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

ALGM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: −$22MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $31M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: −$22MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $31M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$30.5M+119%
Q2 2026$14M-73%
Q1 2026$18.7M+25%
Q4 2025$41.3M+$63.1M
Q3 2025$13.9M+150%
Q2 2025$51M+120%
Q1 2025$15M+$16.5M
Q4 2024-$21.8M-157%

ALGM generated $104M in free cash flow over the past year, up 80% from the year before.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over ALGM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALGM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 195MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 193MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 184MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 185MQ3 2025: 186MQ4 2025: 186MQ1 2026: 185MQ2 2026: 188MQ3 2026: 188M
Q4 2023: 195MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 193MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 184MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 185MQ3 2025: 186MQ4 2025: 186MQ1 2026: 185MQ2 2026: 188MQ3 2026: 188M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-52.6K shares
1 year+0.8%+1.4M shares
3 years-3.8%-7.4M shares
5 years-2.1%-4M shares
Available history0%-32.5K shares

ALGM has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

ALGM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20252.0xModerate
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20255.0xHigh
Q4 20243.0xModerate

ALGM has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

ALGM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.3Neutral
Stochastic13.9Oversold

ALGM's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

ALGM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricALGMSector medianRelative
PE198x28x611% above
PE %913853 pts above

ALGM is trading at 198x earnings, a 611% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALGM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$33.24.4% below
20 week MA$38.918% below
50 week MA$38.718% below
100 week MA$32.93.7% below
200 week MA$32.42.2% below

ALGM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 2.2% below its 200-week average.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has the edge over ALGM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALGM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.3$24.8+35%
2021$24.8$34.5+39%
2022$34.5$30.2-12%
2023$30.2$30.3+0.1%
2024$30.3$22.3-26%
2025$22.3$26.9+21%
2026 YTD$26.9$31.7+18%

ALGM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 18% so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over ALGM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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