ALGM

Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.

57
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation10/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

ALGM has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ALGM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ALGM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ALGM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE165x330x495x660x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE165x330x495x660x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap25x$3.95-88%
Forward25x$31.71—
Fair42x$6.66-79%
Expensive60x$9.54-70%
Current198x$31.71—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALGM's PE is in its expensive range at 198x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALGM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ALGM, with profitability improving.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ALGM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$46.05
Downside-31%$21.81

Calculated from the latest close: $31.71 on Nov 12.

ALGM trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALGM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALGM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.15Q1 2024: $0.78Q2 2024: $0.38Q3 2024: $-0.14Q4 2024: $-0.35Q1 2025: $-0.39Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.08Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.07Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $1.15Q1 2024: $0.78Q2 2024: $0.38Q3 2024: $-0.14Q4 2024: $-0.35Q1 2025: $-0.39Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.08Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.07Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27+696%
Q3 2026$0.16+$0.32
Q2 2026$0.07+$0.44
Q1 2026-$0.08+$0.31
Q4 2025-$0.08+$0.27
Q3 2025-$0.16-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.37-197%
Q1 2025-$0.39-150%
Q4 2024-$0.35-130%

ALGM has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

ALGM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $255MQ1 2024: $241MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $187MQ4 2024: $178MQ1 2025: $193MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $259MQ3 2026: $277M
Q4 2023: $255MQ1 2024: $241MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $187MQ4 2024: $178MQ1 2025: $193MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $259MQ3 2026: $277M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$276.9M+29%
Q2 2026$259.2M+27%
Q1 2026$243.2M+26%
Q4 2025$229.2M+29%
Q3 2025$214.3M+14%
Q2 2025$203.4M+22%
Q1 2025$192.8M-20%
Q4 2024$177.9M-30%

ALGM's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $277M last quarter, up 29% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over ALGM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALGM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: −$22MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $31M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: −$22MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $31M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$30.5M+119%
Q2 2026$14M-73%
Q1 2026$18.7M+25%
Q4 2025$41.3M+$63.1M
Q3 2025$13.9M+150%
Q2 2025$51M+120%
Q1 2025$15M+$16.5M
Q4 2024-$21.8M-157%

ALGM has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

ALGM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 195MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 193MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 184MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 185MQ3 2025: 186MQ4 2025: 186MQ1 2026: 185MQ2 2026: 188MQ3 2026: 188M
Q4 2023: 195MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 193MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 184MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 185MQ3 2025: 186MQ4 2025: 186MQ1 2026: 185MQ2 2026: 188MQ3 2026: 188M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-52.6K shares
1 year+0.8%+1.4M shares
3 years-3.8%-7.4M shares
5 years-2.1%-4M shares
Available history0%-32.5K shares

ALGM has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

ALGM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20252.0xModerate
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20255.0xHigh
Q4 20243.0xModerate

ALGM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ALGM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.3Neutral
Stochastic13.9Oversold

ALGM's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ALGM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricALGMSector medianRelative
PE198x28x611% above
PE %913853 pts above

ALGM is trading at 198x earnings, a 611% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALGM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$33.24.4% below
20 week MA$38.918% below
50 week MA$38.718% below
100 week MA$32.93.7% below
200 week MA$32.42.2% below

ALGM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 2.2% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over ALGM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALGM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.3$24.8+35%
2021$24.8$34.5+39%
2022$34.5$30.2-12%
2023$30.2$30.3+0.1%
2024$30.3$22.3-26%
2025$22.3$26.9+21%
2026 YTD$26.9$31.7+18%

ALGM has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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