ALG

Alamo Group Inc.

47
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

ALG trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over ALG overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ALG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

ALG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ALG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.9x18x27x36x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.9x18x27x36x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$140—
Cheap17x$111-21%
Fair20x$125-11%
Current22x$140—
Expensive24x$156+11%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALG's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT has the edge over ALG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ALG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect ALG's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

VRT has the edge over ALG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

ALG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$165.51
Downside-24%$106.51

Calculated from the latest close: $140.44 on Nov 12.

ALG trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ALG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.36Q1 2024: $11.24Q2 2024: $10.56Q3 2024: $9.93Q4 2024: $9.63Q1 2025: $9.60Q2 2025: $9.82Q3 2025: $9.64Q4 2025: $8.59Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $8.34Q3 2026: $6.41Forward: $11.06
Q4 2023: $11.36Q1 2024: $11.24Q2 2024: $10.56Q3 2024: $9.93Q4 2024: $9.63Q1 2025: $9.60Q2 2025: $9.82Q3 2025: $9.64Q4 2025: $8.59Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $8.34Q3 2026: $6.41Forward: $11.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.06+73%
Q3 2026$6.41-34%
Q2 2026$8.34-15%
Q1 2026$8.36-13%
Q4 2025$8.59-11%
Q3 2025$9.64-2.9%
Q2 2025$9.82-7%
Q1 2025$9.60-15%
Q4 2024$9.63-15%

ALG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $6.41 over the past year, against $11.36 in late 2023.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over ALG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $418MQ1 2024: $426MQ2 2024: $416MQ3 2024: $401MQ4 2024: $385MQ1 2025: $391MQ2 2025: $419MQ3 2025: $420MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $417MQ2 2026: $451MQ3 2026: $403M
Q4 2023: $418MQ1 2024: $426MQ2 2024: $416MQ3 2024: $401MQ4 2024: $385MQ1 2025: $391MQ2 2025: $419MQ3 2025: $420MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $417MQ2 2026: $451MQ3 2026: $403M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$403.1M-4%
Q2 2026$450.7M+7.6%
Q1 2026$417.1M+6.7%
Q4 2025$373.7M-3%
Q3 2025$420M+4.7%
Q2 2025$419.1M+0.7%
Q1 2025$391M-8.1%
Q4 2024$385.3M-7.7%

ALG's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $403M last quarter, down 4% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT has the edge over ALG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $53MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $55M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $53MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $55M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$54.8M+3.3%
Q2 2026$40.4M+156%
Q1 2026-$28M-442%
Q4 2025$69.9M-4.4%
Q3 2025$53.1M-40%
Q2 2025$15.7M-45%
Q1 2025$8.2M+$13.7M
Q4 2024$73.1M+68%

ALG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $137M over the past year.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over ALG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 12MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 12M
Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 12MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-50K shares
1 year-0.2%-22K shares
3 years+0.6%+76K shares
5 years+1.4%+172K shares
Available history+2.2%+261K shares

ALG has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ALG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low

ALG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has the edge over ALG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ALG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.9Neutral
Stochastic11.1Oversold

ALG's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

ALG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricALGSector medianRelative
PE22x24x8.8% below
PE %735815 pts above

ALG has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

ALG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$149.05.7% below
20 week MA$159.112% below
50 week MA$168.517% below
100 week MA$180.322% below
200 week MA$182.723% below

ALG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 200-week average.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has the edge over ALG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$124.1$137.8+11%
2021$137.8$143.9+4.4%
2022$143.9$141.5-1.7%
2023$141.5$210.2+49%
2024$210.2$185.4-12%
2025$185.4$174.4-6%
2026 YTD$174.4$140.4-19%

ALG has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 19% so far in 2026.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT has the edge over ALG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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