ALG

Alamo Group Inc.

47
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

ALG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over ALG overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

ALG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

ALG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ALG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.9x18x27x36x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.9x18x27x36x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$140—
Cheap17x$111-21%
Fair20x$125-11%
Current22x$140—
Expensive24x$156+11%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALG's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect ALG's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over ALG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

ALG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$165.51
Downside-24%$106.51

Calculated from the latest close: $140.44 on Nov 12.

ALG trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALG, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.36Q1 2024: $11.24Q2 2024: $10.56Q3 2024: $9.93Q4 2024: $9.63Q1 2025: $9.60Q2 2025: $9.82Q3 2025: $9.64Q4 2025: $8.59Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $8.34Q3 2026: $6.41Forward: $11.06
Q4 2023: $11.36Q1 2024: $11.24Q2 2024: $10.56Q3 2024: $9.93Q4 2024: $9.63Q1 2025: $9.60Q2 2025: $9.82Q3 2025: $9.64Q4 2025: $8.59Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $8.34Q3 2026: $6.41Forward: $11.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.06+72%
Q3 2026$6.41-34%
Q2 2026$8.34-15%
Q1 2026$8.36-13%
Q4 2025$8.59-11%
Q3 2025$9.64-2.9%
Q2 2025$9.82-7%
Q1 2025$9.60-15%
Q4 2024$9.63-15%

ALG has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

ALG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $418MQ1 2024: $426MQ2 2024: $416MQ3 2024: $401MQ4 2024: $385MQ1 2025: $391MQ2 2025: $419MQ3 2025: $420MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $417MQ2 2026: $451MQ3 2026: $403M
Q4 2023: $418MQ1 2024: $426MQ2 2024: $416MQ3 2024: $401MQ4 2024: $385MQ1 2025: $391MQ2 2025: $419MQ3 2025: $420MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $417MQ2 2026: $451MQ3 2026: $403M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$403.1M-4%
Q2 2026$450.7M+7.6%
Q1 2026$417.1M+6.7%
Q4 2025$373.7M-3%
Q3 2025$420M+4.7%
Q2 2025$419.1M+0.7%
Q1 2025$391M-8.1%
Q4 2024$385.3M-7.7%

ALG's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $403M last quarter, down 4% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over ALG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $53MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $55M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $53MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $55M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$54.8M+3.3%
Q2 2026$40.4M+156%
Q1 2026-$28M-442%
Q4 2025$69.9M-4.4%
Q3 2025$53.1M-40%
Q2 2025$15.7M-45%
Q1 2025$8.2M+$13.7M
Q4 2024$73.1M+68%

ALG has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

ALG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 12MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 12M
Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 12MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-50K shares
1 year-0.2%-22K shares
3 years+0.6%+76K shares
5 years+1.4%+172K shares
Available history+2.2%+261K shares

ALG has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

ALG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low

ALG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ALG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.9Neutral
Stochastic11.1Oversold

ALG's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

ALG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricALGSector medianRelative
PE22x24x9% below
PE %735815 pts above

ALG is trading at 22x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$149.05.7% below
20 week MA$159.112% below
50 week MA$168.517% below
100 week MA$180.322% below
200 week MA$182.723% below

ALG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over ALG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$124.1$137.8+11%
2021$137.8$143.9+4.4%
2022$143.9$141.5-1.7%
2023$141.5$210.2+49%
2024$210.2$185.4-12%
2025$185.4$174.4-6%
2026 YTD$174.4$140.4-19%

ALG has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 19% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over ALG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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