ALG
Alamo Group Inc.
ALG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over ALG overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
ALG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
ALG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ALG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 13x | $140 | — |
| Cheap | 17x | $111 | -21% |
| Fair | 20x | $125 | -11% |
| Current | 22x | $140 | — |
| Expensive | 24x | $156 | +11% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ALG's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ALG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect ALG's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over ALG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
ALG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $11.06 | +73% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.41 | -34% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.34 | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.36 | -13% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.59 | -11% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.64 | -2.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.82 | -7% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.60 | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.63 | -15% |
ALG has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
ALG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $403.1M | -4% |
| Q2 2026 | $450.7M | +7.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $417.1M | +6.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $373.7M | -3% |
| Q3 2025 | $420M | +4.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $419.1M | +0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $391M | -8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $385.3M | -7.7% |
ALG's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $403M last quarter, down 4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.8% | -8.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6% | -2.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.9% | -1.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.9% | -1.8 points |
ALG has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over ALG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ALG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $54.8M | +3.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $40.4M | +156% |
| Q1 2026 | -$28M | -442% |
| Q4 2025 | $69.9M | -4.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $53.1M | -40% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.7M | -45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.2M | +$13.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $73.1M | +68% |
ALG has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
ALG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -50K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -22K shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +76K shares |
| 5 years | +1.4% | +172K shares |
| Available history | +2.2% | +261K shares |
ALG has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $160,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $9.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $26,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $28,000 |
ALG spent $11M buying back its own shares over the past year, about four times what it spent the year before.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ALG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
ALG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ALG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.1 | Oversold |
ALG's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
ALG PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ALG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 24x | 8.8% below |
| PE % | 73 | 58 | 15 pts above |
ALG is trading at 22x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ALG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $149.0 | 5.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $159.1 | 12% below |
| 50 week MA | $168.5 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $180.3 | 22% below |
| 200 week MA | $182.7 | 23% below |
ALG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 200-week average.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
ALG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $124.1 | $137.8 | +11% |
| 2021 | $137.8 | $143.9 | +4.4% |
| 2022 | $143.9 | $141.5 | -1.7% |
| 2023 | $141.5 | $210.2 | +49% |
| 2024 | $210.2 | $185.4 | -12% |
| 2025 | $185.4 | $174.4 | -6% |
| 2026 YTD | $174.4 | $140.4 | -19% |
ALG has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 19% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over ALG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.