ALG
Alamo Group Inc.
ALG offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over ALG overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
ALG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
ALG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ALG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 13x | $140 | — |
| Cheap | 17x | $111 | -21% |
| Fair | 20x | $125 | -11% |
| Current | 22x | $140 | — |
| Expensive | 24x | $156 | +11% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ALG has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
ALG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect ALG's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
CAT has the edge over ALG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
ALG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $11.06 | +73% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.41 | -34% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.34 | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.36 | -13% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.59 | -11% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.64 | -2.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.82 | -7% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.60 | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.63 | -15% |
ALG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $6.41 over the past year, against $11.36 in late 2023.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.73 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over ALG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ALG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $403.1M | -4% |
| Q2 2026 | $450.7M | +7.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $417.1M | +6.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $373.7M | -3% |
| Q3 2025 | $420M | +4.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $419.1M | +0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $391M | -8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $385.3M | -7.7% |
ALG's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $403M last quarter, down 4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.8% | -8.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6% | -2.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.9% | -1.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.9% | -1.8 points |
ALG's operating margin was 0.8% last quarter, down 8.1 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the edge over ALG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over ALG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ALG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $54.8M | +3.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $40.4M | +156% |
| Q1 2026 | -$28M | -442% |
| Q4 2025 | $69.9M | -4.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $53.1M | -40% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.7M | -45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.2M | +$13.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $73.1M | +68% |
ALG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $137M over the past year.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
ALG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -50K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -22K shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +76K shares |
| 5 years | +1.4% | +172K shares |
| Available history | +2.2% | +261K shares |
ALG has 12M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $160,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $9.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $26,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $28,000 |
ALG spent $11M buying back its own shares over the past year, about four times what it spent the year before.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over ALG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
ALG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
ALG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over ALG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ALG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.1 | Oversold |
ALG's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
ALG PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ALG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 24x | 8.8% below |
| PE % | 73 | 58 | 15 pts above |
ALG has the edge over CAT on valuation relative to its sector.
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.1% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
ALG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $149.0 | 5.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $159.1 | 12% below |
| 50 week MA | $168.5 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $180.3 | 22% below |
| 200 week MA | $182.7 | 23% below |
ALG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 200-week average.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has the edge over ALG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ALG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $124.1 | $137.8 | +11% |
| 2021 | $137.8 | $143.9 | +4.4% |
| 2022 | $143.9 | $141.5 | -1.7% |
| 2023 | $141.5 | $210.2 | +49% |
| 2024 | $210.2 | $185.4 | -12% |
| 2025 | $185.4 | $174.4 | -6% |
| 2026 YTD | $174.4 | $140.4 | -19% |
ALG has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 19% so far in 2026.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has the edge over ALG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.