ALF

Centurion Acquisition Corp.

There isn't enough reported data to score ALF yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

ALF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

ALF's profitability is currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ALF.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

ALF PE Valuation

ALF has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

ALF Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for ALF to show an outlook.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

ALF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $10.81 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ALF and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ALF and MS's risk to reward.

ALF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2021: $-0.47Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.46Q3 2025: $0.43
Q4 2021: $-0.47Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.46Q3 2025: $0.43

ALF and MS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

ALF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2021: −$18,386Q2 2022: $129,302Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$129,000Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: --
Q4 2021: −$18,386Q2 2022: $129,302Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$129,000Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$129.3K+13714%

ALF's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $0 last quarter, down 100% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over ALF in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

ALF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2021: −$11MQ2 2022: −$4MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: −$33,678Q4 2024: −$116,491Q1 2025: −$173,170Q2 2025: −$69,092Q3 2025: −$196,263Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$72,157Q2 2026: −$26,975
Q4 2021: −$11MQ2 2022: −$4MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: −$33,678Q4 2024: −$116,491Q1 2025: −$173,170Q2 2025: −$69,092Q3 2025: −$196,263Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$72,157Q2 2026: −$26,975
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$27K+$42.1K
Q1 2026-$72.2K+$101K
Q3 2025-$196.3K-$162.6K
Q2 2022-$3.9M+$1.9M
Q2 2021-$5.8M-$4.3M
Q1 2021-$2M-$965.7K

ALF's free cash flow was −$364,487 over the past year, against −$4M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ALF.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

ALF Total Shares

Q4 2021: 11MQ2 2022: 16MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 12M
Q4 2021: 11MQ2 2022: 16MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-58%-16.6M shares
1 year-66%-23.8M shares
3 years+9.7%+1.1M shares

ALF has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

ALF Net Leverage

Q4 2021: -0.0x
Q4 2021: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2021-0.0xVery low

ALF has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ALF.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

ALF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic41.1Neutral

ALF's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

ALF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricALFSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

ALF has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

ALF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.90.7% below
20 week MA$10.90.6% below
50 week MA$10.80.1% above
100 week MA$10.61.9% above

MS has stronger trend alignment. ALF is above 2 of 4 weekly averages versus MS above 3 of 5.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

ALF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$10.0$10.1+1%
2025$10.1$10.6+5.2%
2026 YTD$10.6$10.8+1.7%

ALF has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's up 1.7% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over ALF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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