ALEC

Alector, Inc.

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

ALEC's fundamentals are strong: revenue more than doubled and its operating margin went from −179% to 20%, though free cash flow was negative. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

ALEC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Under pressure
Strong

ALEC's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is under pressure.

ALEC PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Current7x$2.45—
Cheap17x$6.09+149%
Fair19x$6.80+178%
Expensive23x$8.15+233%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALEC's PE is 7.0x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ALEC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ALEC's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ALEC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+71%$4.19
Downside-42%$1.42

Calculated from the latest close: $2.45 on Nov 12.

ALEC's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +71% against −42%.

ALEC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.56Q1 2024: $-1.39Q2 2024: $-1.81Q3 2024: $-1.71Q4 2024: $-1.23Q1 2025: $-1.26Q2 2025: $-1.16Q3 2025: $-1.07Q4 2025: $-1.39Q1 2026: $-1.19Q2 2026: $-1.10Q3 2026: $0.35
Q4 2023: $-1.56Q1 2024: $-1.39Q2 2024: $-1.81Q3 2024: $-1.71Q4 2024: $-1.23Q1 2025: $-1.26Q2 2025: $-1.16Q3 2025: $-1.07Q4 2025: $-1.39Q1 2026: $-1.19Q2 2026: $-1.10Q3 2026: $0.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.35+$1.42
Q2 2026-$1.10+$0.06
Q1 2026-$1.19+$0.07
Q4 2025-$1.39-$0.16
Q3 2025-$1.07+$0.64
Q2 2025-$1.16+$0.65
Q1 2025-$1.26+$0.13
Q4 2024-$1.23+$0.33

ALEC has returned to profit: it earned $0.35 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ALEC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $163M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $163M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$162.9M+4896%
Q2 2026$3.3M-58%
Q1 2026$1M-72%
Q4 2025$6.2M-89%
Q3 2025$3.3M-79%
Q2 2025$7.9M-48%
Q1 2025$3.7M-77%
Q4 2024$54.2M+257%

ALEC's revenue is growing: $163M last quarter, up 4896% from the same quarter a year ago.

ALEC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$46MQ1 2024: −$62MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: −$51MQ4 2024: −$55MQ1 2025: −$61MQ2 2025: −$49MQ3 2025: −$33MQ4 2025: −$42MQ1 2026: −$50MQ2 2026: −$34MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$46MQ1 2024: −$62MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: −$51MQ4 2024: −$55MQ1 2025: −$61MQ2 2025: −$49MQ3 2025: −$33MQ4 2025: −$42MQ1 2026: −$50MQ2 2026: −$34MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$24.2M+$8.4M
Q2 2026-$34.2M+$14.8M
Q1 2026-$49.9M+$10.9M
Q4 2025-$41.7M+$13.5M
Q3 2025-$32.5M+$18.4M
Q2 2025-$49.1M+$14.1M
Q1 2025-$60.8M+$1.1M
Q4 2024-$55.2M-$8.9M

ALEC has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$150M over the past year, against −$198M the year before.

ALEC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 84MQ1 2024: 94MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 98MQ4 2024: 97MQ1 2025: 99MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 103MQ4 2025: 103MQ1 2026: 111MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 112M
Q4 2023: 84MQ1 2024: 94MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 98MQ4 2024: 97MQ1 2025: 99MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 103MQ4 2025: 103MQ1 2026: 111MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 112M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+1.3M shares
1 year+9.6%+9.9M shares
3 years+34%+28.5M shares
5 years+32%+27.2M shares
Available history+50%+37.7M shares

ALEC has 112M diluted shares, up 9.6% from a year ago.

ALEC Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -1.9x
Q3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2022-4.1xNet Cash

ALEC has more cash than debt.

ALEC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.0Neutral
Stochastic63.4Neutral

ALEC's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

ALEC PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricALECSector medianRelative
PE7x26x73% below

ALEC is trading at 7.0x earnings, a 73% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

ALEC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.0619% above
20 week MA$1.9824% above
50 week MA$1.9724% above
100 week MA$1.8632% above
200 week MA$3.9838% below

ALEC has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 38% below its 200-week average.

ALEC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.6$15.3-13%
2021$15.3$23.7+55%
2022$23.7$8.84-63%
2023$8.84$7.98-9.7%
2024$7.98$1.78-78%
2025$1.78$1.45-19%
2026 YTD$1.45$2.45+69%

ALEC has finished four years in a row lower, and it's up 69% so far in 2026.

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