ALC

Alcon Inc.

56
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential31/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

ALC's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 16% of its revenue into free cash flow, but its operating margin fell 5 points to 9.9%. At 55x earnings, it's trading above its usual 49x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

ALC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

ALC's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

ALC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE61x122x184x245x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE61x122x184x245x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$71.83—
Cheap39x$50.05-30%
Fair48x$62.50-13%
Current55x$71.83—
Expensive108x$140+95%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALC's PE is in its fair range at 55x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ALC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ALC, with profitability improving.

ALC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$80.35
Downside-26%$52.99

Calculated from the latest close: $71.83 on Nov 12.

ALC's one-year downside scenario is more than twice its upside: −26% against +12%.

ALC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.90Q4 2023: $1.97Q1 2024: $2.12Q2 2024: $2.23Q3 2024: $2.35Q4 2024: $2.05Q1 2025: $2.25Q2 2025: $2.15Q3 2025: $2.10Q4 2025: $1.97Q1 2026: $1.65Q2 2026: $1.30Forward: $3.85
Q3 2023: $0.90Q4 2023: $1.97Q1 2024: $2.12Q2 2024: $2.23Q3 2024: $2.35Q4 2024: $2.05Q1 2025: $2.25Q2 2025: $2.15Q3 2025: $2.10Q4 2025: $1.97Q1 2026: $1.65Q2 2026: $1.30Forward: $3.85
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.85+196%
Q2 2026$1.30-40%
Q1 2026$1.65-27%
Q4 2025$1.97-3.9%
Q3 2025$2.10-11%
Q2 2025$2.15-3.6%
Q1 2025$2.25+6.1%
Q4 2024$2.05+4.1%
Q3 2024$2.35+161%

ALC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.30 over the past year, against $2.35 in late 2024.

ALC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.3BQ4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $2.8B
Q3 2023: $2.3BQ4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $2.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$2.8B+8.7%
Q1 2026$2.7B+7.3%
Q4 2025$2.7B+8.6%
Q3 2025$2.6B+6.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B+4%
Q1 2025$2.5B+0.6%
Q4 2024$2.5B+6.4%
Q3 2024$2.5B+5.4%

ALC's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $2.8B last quarter, up 8.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

ALC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $364MQ4 2023: $109MQ1 2024: $198MQ2 2024: $410MQ3 2024: $613MQ4 2024: $313MQ1 2025: $244MQ2 2025: $372MQ3 2025: $539MQ4 2025: $457MQ1 2026: $274MQ2 2026: $414M
Q3 2023: $364MQ4 2023: $109MQ1 2024: $198MQ2 2024: $410MQ3 2024: $613MQ4 2024: $313MQ1 2025: $244MQ2 2025: $372MQ3 2025: $539MQ4 2025: $457MQ1 2026: $274MQ2 2026: $414M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$414M+11%
Q1 2026$273.6M+12%
Q4 2025$457M+46%
Q3 2025$538.7M-12%
Q2 2025$372M-9.3%
Q1 2025$244M+23%
Q4 2024$313.2M+186%
Q3 2024$613.2M+69%

ALC generated $1.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 9.1% from the year before.

ALC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 496MQ4 2023: 493MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 497MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 498MQ1 2025: 498MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 496MQ4 2025: 492MQ1 2026: 490MQ2 2026: 489M
Q3 2023: 496MQ4 2023: 493MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 497MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 498MQ1 2025: 498MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 496MQ4 2025: 492MQ1 2026: 490MQ2 2026: 489M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.5M shares
1 year-1.8%-9.2M shares
3 years-1.4%-7M shares
5 years-0.9%-4.5M shares
Available history+0.1%+500K shares

ALC has 489M diluted shares, down 1.8% from a year ago, with $921M in buybacks over the past year.

ALC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.9xQ4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4x
Q3 2023: 1.9xQ4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy
Q3 20241.4xHealthy

ALC's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

ALC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.0Neutral
Stochastic69.9Neutral

ALC's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

ALC PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricALCSector medianRelative
PE55x26x114% above
PE %512922 pts above

ALC is trading at 55x earnings, a 114% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

ALC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$68.45.1% above
20 week MA$69.23.7% above
50 week MA$72.91.5% below
100 week MA$79.19.2% below
200 week MA$80.611% below

ALC has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 11% below its 200-week average.

ALC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$57.4$64.9+13%
2021$64.9$86.6+34%
2022$86.6$67.8-22%
2023$67.8$78.1+15%
2024$78.1$85.7+9.6%
2025$85.7$80.4-6.2%
2026 YTD$80.4$71.8-11%

ALC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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