ALAB
Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock
ALAB has the edge over INTC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
ALAB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
ALAB's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
ALAB PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 33x | $228 | — |
| Cheap | 72x | $182 | -20% |
| Current | 91x | $228 | — |
| Fair | 108x | $272 | +19% |
| Expensive | 172x | $431 | +89% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ALAB's PE is in its fair range at 91x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ALAB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ALAB, with profitability improving.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ALAB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.88 | +174% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.51 | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.02 | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.48 | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.22 | +$1.86 |
| Q3 2025 | $2.20 | +$3.98 |
| Q2 2025 | $1.65 | +$3.40 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.31 | +$3.16 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.64 | -$0.43 |
ALAB has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
ALAB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $584.9M | +154% |
| Q2 2026 | $392.4M | +104% |
| Q1 2026 | $308.4M | +93% |
| Q4 2025 | $270.6M | +92% |
| Q3 2025 | $230.6M | +104% |
| Q2 2025 | $191.9M | +150% |
| Q1 2025 | $159.4M | +144% |
| Q4 2024 | $141.1M | +179% |
ALAB has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | +6.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 23% | +2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | +13 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | +25 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +32 points |
| Q2 2025 | 21% | +52 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.1% | +134 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1% | -18 points |
ALAB has the edge over INTC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 10 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ALAB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $133.9M | +103% |
| Q2 2026 | $67.2M | -50% |
| Q1 2026 | $67M | +1023% |
| Q4 2025 | $76.6M | +216% |
| Q3 2025 | $65.9M | +41% |
| Q2 2025 | $133.3M | +328% |
| Q1 2025 | $6M | +2516% |
| Q4 2024 | $24.3M | +81% |
ALAB generated $345M in free cash flow over the past year, up 50% from the year before.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $3.8B over the past year.
ALAB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +737K shares |
| 1 year | +1.9% | +3.4M shares |
| 3 years | +21% | +31.6M shares |
ALAB has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | $210,000 |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $118,000 |
| Q1 2023 | — |
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
ALAB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
ALAB has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.
ALAB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.4 | Oversold |
ALAB's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
ALAB PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ALAB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 91x | 28x | 226% above |
| PE % | 33 | 17 | 16 pts above |
ALAB is trading at 91x earnings, a 226% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ALAB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $284.7 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $306.9 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $241.4 | 5.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $182.7 | 25% above |
INTC has stronger trend alignment. ALAB is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus INTC above 2 of 5.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.
ALAB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $70.0 | $141.5 | +102% |
| 2025 | $141.5 | $167.3 | +18% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.3 | $227.8 | +36% |
ALAB has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's up 36% so far in 2026.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over ALAB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.