AKAM

Akamai Technologies, Inc.

46
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation35/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

AKAM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over AKAM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

AKAM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

AKAM's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AKAM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x53x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x53x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$86.56—
Cheap25x$65.50-24%
Fair30x$77.92-10%
Expensive34x$88.53+2.3%
Current34x$86.56—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AKAM's PE is in its expensive range at 34x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13x, in its cheap range.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over AKAM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AKAM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect AKAM's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over AKAM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

AKAM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$111.00
Downside-29%$61.50

Calculated from the latest close: $86.56 on Nov 12.

AKAM trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AKAM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AKAM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.52Q1 2024: $4.01Q2 2024: $4.03Q3 2024: $3.37Q4 2024: $3.27Q1 2025: $2.98Q2 2025: $2.83Q3 2025: $3.42Q4 2025: $3.07Q1 2026: $2.96Q2 2026: $2.77Q3 2026: $2.57Forward: $6.44
Q4 2023: $3.52Q1 2024: $4.01Q2 2024: $4.03Q3 2024: $3.37Q4 2024: $3.27Q1 2025: $2.98Q2 2025: $2.83Q3 2025: $3.42Q4 2025: $3.07Q1 2026: $2.96Q2 2026: $2.77Q3 2026: $2.57Forward: $6.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.44+150%
Q3 2026$2.57-25%
Q2 2026$2.77-2.1%
Q1 2026$2.96-0.7%
Q4 2025$3.07-6.1%
Q3 2025$3.42+1.5%
Q2 2025$2.83-30%
Q1 2025$2.98-26%
Q4 2024$3.27-7.1%

AKAM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.57 over the past year, against $4.03 in mid-2024.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over AKAM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AKAM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $995MQ1 2024: $987MQ2 2024: $980MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $995MQ1 2024: $987MQ2 2024: $980MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+6.4%
Q2 2026$1.1B+5.4%
Q1 2026$1.1B+5.8%
Q4 2025$1.1B+7.4%
Q3 2025$1.1B+5%
Q2 2025$1B+6.5%
Q1 2025$1B+2.9%
Q4 2024$1B+2.5%

AKAM's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.1B last quarter, up 6.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over AKAM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AKAM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $319MQ1 2024: $258MQ2 2024: $340MQ3 2024: $280MQ4 2024: $251MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $314MQ3 2025: $329MQ4 2025: $235MQ1 2026: $211MQ2 2026: $181MQ3 2026: −$82M
Q4 2023: $319MQ1 2024: $258MQ2 2024: $340MQ3 2024: $280MQ4 2024: $251MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $314MQ3 2025: $329MQ4 2025: $235MQ1 2026: $211MQ2 2026: $181MQ3 2026: −$82M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$81.9M-125%
Q2 2026$181.3M-42%
Q1 2026$210.8M+58%
Q4 2025$234.9M-6.4%
Q3 2025$329.1M+18%
Q2 2025$313.6M-7.8%
Q1 2025$133.4M-48%
Q4 2024$250.9M-21%

AKAM has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

AKAM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 155MQ1 2024: 157MQ2 2024: 154MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 154MQ1 2025: 151MQ2 2025: 145MQ3 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 147MQ1 2026: 150MQ2 2026: 154MQ3 2026: 151M
Q4 2023: 155MQ1 2024: 157MQ2 2024: 154MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 154MQ1 2025: 151MQ2 2025: 145MQ3 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 147MQ1 2026: 150MQ2 2026: 154MQ3 2026: 151M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-2.5M shares
1 year+4.4%+6.4M shares
3 years-2.5%-3.8M shares
5 years-9.1%-15.2M shares
Available history-8.1%-13.4M shares

AKAM has 151M diluted shares, up 4.4% from a year ago, despite $616M in buybacks over the past year.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over AKAM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AKAM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.4xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 5.1xQ3 2026: 5.6x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.4xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 5.1xQ3 2026: 5.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.6xHigh
Q2 20265.1xHigh
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20252.4xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.1xModerate
Q4 20242.6xModerate

AKAM's net debt is about 5.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.4 years a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over AKAM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AKAM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.1Neutral
Stochastic15.0Oversold

AKAM's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

AKAM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAKAMSector medianRelative
PE34x28x21% above
PE %793544 pts above

AKAM is trading at 34x earnings, a 21% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over AKAM on valuation relative to its sector.

AKAM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$96.710% below
20 week MA$106.719% below
50 week MA$107.820% below
100 week MA$94.78.6% below
200 week MA$96.510% below

AKAM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 10% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over AKAM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AKAM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$86.5$107.5+24%
2021$107.5$116.2+8.1%
2022$116.2$83.2-28%
2023$83.2$118.4+42%
2024$118.4$97.0-18%
2025$97.0$88.4-8.8%
2026 YTD$88.4$86.6-2.1%

AKAM has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 2.1% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over AKAM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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