AKA

a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.

45
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

AKA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over AKA overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

AKA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

AKA's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

AKA PE Valuation

AKA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

AKA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

AKA has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AKA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$12.32
Downside-28%$6.32

Calculated from the latest close: $8.82 on Nov 12.

AKA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails AKA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AKA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-9.24Q1 2024: $-9.25Q2 2024: $-8.99Q3 2024: $-2.92Q4 2024: $-2.46Q1 2025: $-2.39Q2 2025: $-2.51Q3 2025: $-2.46Q4 2025: $-2.93Q1 2026: $-2.81Q2 2026: $-2.48Q3 2026: $-2.72
Q4 2023: $-9.24Q1 2024: $-9.25Q2 2024: $-8.99Q3 2024: $-2.92Q4 2024: $-2.46Q1 2025: $-2.39Q2 2025: $-2.51Q3 2025: $-2.46Q4 2025: $-2.93Q1 2026: $-2.81Q2 2026: $-2.48Q3 2026: $-2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.72-$0.26
Q2 2026-$2.48+$0.03
Q1 2026-$2.81-$0.42
Q4 2025-$2.93-$0.47
Q3 2025-$2.46+$0.46
Q2 2025-$2.51+$6.48
Q1 2025-$2.39+$6.86
Q4 2024-$2.46+$6.78

AKA is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.72 per share over the past year, against $24.10 at its worst in late 2023.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over AKA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AKA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $149MQ1 2024: $117MQ2 2024: $149MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $159MQ1 2025: $129MQ2 2025: $161MQ3 2025: $147MQ4 2025: $164MQ1 2026: $132MQ2 2026: $160MQ3 2026: $161M
Q4 2023: $149MQ1 2024: $117MQ2 2024: $149MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $159MQ1 2025: $129MQ2 2025: $161MQ3 2025: $147MQ4 2025: $164MQ1 2026: $132MQ2 2026: $160MQ3 2026: $161M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$161.3M+9.7%
Q2 2026$160.1M-0.3%
Q1 2026$132.5M+3%
Q4 2025$164M+3.1%
Q3 2025$147.1M-1.9%
Q2 2025$160.5M+7.8%
Q1 2025$128.7M+10%
Q4 2024$159M+6.8%

AKA has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

AKA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $317,000Q4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $317,000Q4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.4M-2444%
Q2 2026$18.2M+146%
Q1 2026-$6.4M-$1.1M
Q4 2025-$3M-198%
Q3 2025$317K+$7.4M
Q2 2025$7.4M+388%
Q1 2025-$5.3M+$3.1M
Q4 2024$3.1M-79%

AKA has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

AKA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+105K shares
1 year+2.5%+267K shares
3 years+3%+316K shares
5 years+3%+326K shares
Available history+16%+1.5M shares

AKA has 11M diluted shares, up 2.5% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over AKA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AKA Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 36.8xQ2 2025: 20.2xQ3 2025: 11.3xQ1 2026: 72.1xQ2 2026: 22.5xQ3 2026: 69.0x
Q1 2025: 36.8xQ2 2025: 20.2xQ3 2025: 11.3xQ1 2026: 72.1xQ2 2026: 22.5xQ3 2026: 69.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202669.0xHigh
Q2 202622.5xHigh
Q1 202672.1xHigh
Q3 202511.3xHigh
Q2 202520.2xHigh
Q1 202536.8xHigh
Q3 20225.5xHigh
Q2 20213.8xElevated

AKA's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from more than 20 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over AKA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AKA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.5Neutral
Stochastic15.3Oversold

AKA's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

AKA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

AKA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AKA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.315% below
20 week MA$10.718% below
50 week MA$10.616% below
100 week MA$11.725% below
200 week MA$12.127% below

AKA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 27% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over AKA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AKA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$120.0$104.8-13%
2022$104.8$16.0-85%
2023$16.0$8.05-50%
2024$8.05$19.4+141%
2025$19.4$11.4-41%
2026 YTD$11.4$8.82-22%

AKA has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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