AKA

a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.

45
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

AKA offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has the edge over AKA overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

AKA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

AKA's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

AKA PE Valuation

AKA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AKA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect AKA's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over AKA on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

AKA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$12.32
Downside-28%$6.32

Calculated from the latest close: $8.82 on Nov 12.

AKA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails AKA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AKA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-9.24Q1 2024: $-9.25Q2 2024: $-8.99Q3 2024: $-2.92Q4 2024: $-2.46Q1 2025: $-2.39Q2 2025: $-2.51Q3 2025: $-2.46Q4 2025: $-2.93Q1 2026: $-2.81Q2 2026: $-2.48Q3 2026: $-2.72
Q4 2023: $-9.24Q1 2024: $-9.25Q2 2024: $-8.99Q3 2024: $-2.92Q4 2024: $-2.46Q1 2025: $-2.39Q2 2025: $-2.51Q3 2025: $-2.46Q4 2025: $-2.93Q1 2026: $-2.81Q2 2026: $-2.48Q3 2026: $-2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.72-$0.26
Q2 2026-$2.48+$0.03
Q1 2026-$2.81-$0.42
Q4 2025-$2.93-$0.47
Q3 2025-$2.46+$0.46
Q2 2025-$2.51+$6.48
Q1 2025-$2.39+$6.86
Q4 2024-$2.46+$6.78

AKA is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.72 per share over the past year, against $24.10 at its worst in late 2023.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over AKA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AKA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $149MQ1 2024: $117MQ2 2024: $149MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $159MQ1 2025: $129MQ2 2025: $161MQ3 2025: $147MQ4 2025: $164MQ1 2026: $132MQ2 2026: $160MQ3 2026: $161M
Q4 2023: $149MQ1 2024: $117MQ2 2024: $149MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $159MQ1 2025: $129MQ2 2025: $161MQ3 2025: $147MQ4 2025: $164MQ1 2026: $132MQ2 2026: $160MQ3 2026: $161M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$161.3M+9.7%
Q2 2026$160.1M-0.3%
Q1 2026$132.5M+3%
Q4 2025$164M+3.1%
Q3 2025$147.1M-1.9%
Q2 2025$160.5M+7.8%
Q1 2025$128.7M+10%
Q4 2024$159M+6.8%

AKA's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $161M last quarter, up 9.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over AKA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AKA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $317,000Q4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $317,000Q4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.4M-2444%
Q2 2026$18.2M+146%
Q1 2026-$6.4M-$1.1M
Q4 2025-$3M-198%
Q3 2025$317K+$7.4M
Q2 2025$7.4M+388%
Q1 2025-$5.3M+$3.1M
Q4 2024$3.1M-79%

AKA has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

AKA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+105K shares
1 year+2.5%+267K shares
3 years+3%+316K shares
5 years+3%+326K shares
Available history+16%+1.5M shares

AKA has 11M diluted shares, up 2.5% from a year ago.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over AKA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AKA Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 36.8xQ2 2025: 20.2xQ3 2025: 11.3xQ1 2026: 72.1xQ2 2026: 22.5xQ3 2026: 69.0x
Q1 2025: 36.8xQ2 2025: 20.2xQ3 2025: 11.3xQ1 2026: 72.1xQ2 2026: 22.5xQ3 2026: 69.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202669.0xHigh
Q2 202622.5xHigh
Q1 202672.1xHigh
Q3 202511.3xHigh
Q2 202520.2xHigh
Q1 202536.8xHigh
Q3 20225.5xHigh
Q2 20213.8xElevated

AKA's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from more than 20 years a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over AKA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AKA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.5Neutral
Stochastic15.3Oversold

AKA's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

AKA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

AKA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

AKA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.315% below
20 week MA$10.718% below
50 week MA$10.616% below
100 week MA$11.725% below
200 week MA$12.127% below

AKA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 27% below its 200-week average.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

AKA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$120.0$104.8-13%
2022$104.8$16.0-85%
2023$16.0$8.05-50%
2024$8.05$19.4+141%
2025$19.4$11.4-41%
2026 YTD$11.4$8.82-22%

AKA has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

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