AISP
Airship AI Holdings, Inc.
AISP offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over AISP overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
AISP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
AISP's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AISP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.8x | $1.67 | — |
| Cheap | 3.4x | $3.12 | +87% |
| Fair | 23x | $21.19 | +1169% |
| Expensive | 28x | $25.09 | +1402% |
| Forward | 56x | $1.67 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AISP has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
AISP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect AISP to return to profit, with revenue growing.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
AISP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.03 | -97% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | +$2.59 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.81 | +$2.47 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.13 | +$0.46 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.76 | +$3.10 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.68 | -746% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.66 | -4250% |
| Q1 2023 | $0.39 | -7.1% |
AISP has returned to profit: it earned $0.91 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over AISP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AISP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.2M | +429% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.1M | +92% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.4M | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.5M | +103% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2M | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.1M | -66% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.5M | -48% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.9M | +20% |
AISP's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $6M last quarter, up 429% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -9% | +235 points |
| Q2 2026 | -36% | +58 points |
| Q1 2026 | -25% | +6.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -9.4% | +37 points |
| Q3 2025 | -243% | -188 points |
| Q2 2025 | -94% | -109 points |
| Q1 2025 | -31% | -18 points |
| Q4 2024 | -47% | N/A |
AISP's operating margin was −9% last quarter, up 234 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over AISP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over AISP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AISP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $383.9K | +$967.5K |
| Q2 2026 | -$235.2K | +$1.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $814.5K | +$2.9M |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.5M | -$1.4M |
| Q3 2025 | -$583.6K | -$332.2K |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.8M | +$630.8K |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.1M | -$402.8K |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.1M | +$141.3K |
AISP has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$3M over the past year, against −$7M the year before.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT has the edge over AISP on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AISP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +4.5M shares |
| 1 year | -7.3% | -3.1M shares |
| 3 years | +239% | +27.4M shares |
AISP has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
AISP Net Leverage
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
AISP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.6 | Oversold |
AISP's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
AISP PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AISP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 1.8x | 28x | 93% below |
| PE % | 0 | 42 | 42 pts below |
AISP has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AISP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.01 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.02 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $2.47 | 32% below |
| 100 week MA | $3.61 | 54% below |
| 200 week MA | $5.31 | 69% below |
AISP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 69% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over AISP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AISP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $9.75 | $9.78 | +0.3% |
| 2022 | $9.78 | $10.1 | +3% |
| 2023 | $10.1 | $1.70 | -83% |
| 2024 | $1.70 | $5.61 | +230% |
| 2025 | $5.61 | $2.83 | -50% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.83 | $1.67 | -41% |
AISP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +230% in 2024 to −83% in 2023. It's down 41% so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over AISP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.