AIRI
Air Industries Group
AIRI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over AIRI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
AIRI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
AIRI's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AIRI PE Valuation
AIRI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
AIRI Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for AIRI to show an outlook.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AIRI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.34 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.25 | +$0.22 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.31 | +$0.10 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.55 | -$0.36 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.66 | -$0.19 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.47 | +$0.20 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.41 | +$0.24 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.19 | +$0.80 |
AIRI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.32 per share over the past year, against $2.97 at its worst in late 2019.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over AIRI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AIRI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $12M | -5.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.6M | -4.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.8M | -14% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.3M | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.7M | -6.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.1M | -14% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.9M | +11% |
| Q3 2024 | $12.6M | +2.1% |
AIRI's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $12M last quarter, down 5.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -3% | -3.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -4.9% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.7% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +2.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1% | -5.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -6.2% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -0.7% | -5 points |
| Q3 2024 | 0.5% | +7 points |
AIRI's operating margin was −3% last quarter, down 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the edge over AIRI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over AIRI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AIRI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.5M | +$2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.7M | -659% |
| Q4 2025 | -$902K | +$83K |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.5M | -$3.4M |
| Q2 2025 | -$551K | +$3K |
| Q1 2025 | $308K | +$651K |
| Q4 2024 | -$985K | +$1.5M |
| Q3 2024 | -$95K | -102% |
AIRI has burned cash in most quarters: −$5M over the past year, against −$1M the year before.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the edge over AIRI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AIRI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +28.4K shares |
| 1 year | +29% | +1.1M shares |
| 3 years | +47% | +1.5M shares |
| 5 years | +27% | +1M shares |
| Available history | +66% | +1.9M shares |
AIRI has 5M diluted shares, up 29% from a year ago.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over AIRI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
AIRI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 11.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 10.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 11.4x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 6.0x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 7.9x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 9.9x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 8.5x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 18.7x | High |
AIRI's net debt is about 11 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.9 years a year ago.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over AIRI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AIRI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 63.8 | Neutral |
AIRI's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
AIRI PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | AIRI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
AIRI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
AIRI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.64 | 1.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.66 | 2.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $2.95 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $3.24 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.69 | 30% below |
AIRI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 30% below its 200-week average.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has the edge over AIRI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AIRI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.4 | $11.9 | -35% |
| 2021 | $11.9 | $9.38 | -21% |
| 2022 | $9.38 | $4.38 | -53% |
| 2023 | $4.38 | $3.25 | -26% |
| 2024 | $3.25 | $4.44 | +37% |
| 2025 | $4.44 | $3.09 | -30% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.09 | $2.60 | -16% |
AIRI has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 16% so far in 2026.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has the edge over AIRI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.