AIRG

Airgain, Inc.

56
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

AIRG has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AIRG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

AIRG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AIRG PE Valuation

AIRG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AIRG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AIRG to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AIRG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$5.25
Downside-29%$2.64

Calculated from the latest close: $3.71 on Nov 12.

AIRG trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AIRG, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AIRG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.20Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $-1.17Q3 2024: $-1.15Q4 2024: $-0.79Q1 2025: $-0.69Q2 2025: $-0.58Q3 2025: $-0.50Q4 2025: $-0.54Q1 2026: $-0.56Q2 2026: $-0.57Q3 2026: $-0.53Forward: $0.21
Q4 2023: $-1.20Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $-1.17Q3 2024: $-1.15Q4 2024: $-0.79Q1 2025: $-0.69Q2 2025: $-0.58Q3 2025: $-0.50Q4 2025: $-0.54Q1 2026: $-0.56Q2 2026: $-0.57Q3 2026: $-0.53Forward: $0.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.21—
Q3 2026-$0.53-$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.57+$0.01
Q1 2026-$0.56+$0.13
Q4 2025-$0.54+$0.25
Q3 2025-$0.50+$0.65
Q2 2025-$0.58+$0.59
Q1 2025-$0.69+$0.46
Q4 2024-$0.79+$0.41

AIRG has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

AIRG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $15M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $15M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$15.3M+9.3%
Q2 2026$13.7M+0.6%
Q1 2026$11.5M-4.2%
Q4 2025$12.1M-20%
Q3 2025$14M-13%
Q2 2025$13.6M-10%
Q1 2025$12M-16%
Q4 2024$15.1M+50%

AIRG's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $15M last quarter, up 9.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over AIRG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AIRG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: −$27,000Q1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $113,000Q3 2025: −$418,000Q4 2025: $93,000Q1 2026: −$814,000Q2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$175,000
Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: −$27,000Q1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $113,000Q3 2025: −$418,000Q4 2025: $93,000Q1 2026: −$814,000Q2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$175,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$175K+$243K
Q2 2026-$1.8M-1716%
Q1 2026-$814K+$253K
Q4 2025$93K+$120K
Q3 2025-$418K+$788K
Q2 2025$113K+$1.4M
Q1 2025-$1.1M+$112K
Q4 2024-$27K+$2.1M

AIRG has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

AIRG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 12MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 10MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 12MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.3%+300K shares
1 year+11%+1.4M shares
3 years+26%+2.7M shares
5 years+30%+3.1M shares
Available history+30%+3M shares

AIRG has 13M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over AIRG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AIRG Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2019-8.6xNet Cash

AIRG has more cash than debt.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AIRG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI25.9Oversold
Stochastic7.8Oversold

AIRG's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

AIRG PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAIRGSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

AIRG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AIRG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.2312% below
20 week MA$5.0627% below
50 week MA$5.2629% below
100 week MA$5.0226% below
200 week MA$5.3431% below

AIRG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over AIRG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AIRG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.5$15.2+45%
2021$15.2$10.6-30%
2022$10.6$6.45-39%
2023$6.45$3.56-45%
2024$3.56$7.16+101%
2025$7.16$4.00-44%
2026 YTD$4.00$3.71-7.3%

AIRG has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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