AIP

Arteris, Inc.

61
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

AIP's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over AIP overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AIP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Stable
Unavailable

AIP's revenue is currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AIP PE Valuation

AIP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 341x next year's earnings.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

AIP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AIP has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

AIP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$31.79
Downside-36%$12.95

Calculated from the latest close: $20.19 on Nov 12.

AIP trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AIP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AIP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.03Q1 2024: $-1.02Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-0.86Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-0.81Q3 2025: $-0.82Q4 2025: $-0.82Q1 2026: $-0.79Q2 2026: $-0.87Q3 2026: $-0.89Forward: $0.06
Q4 2023: $-1.03Q1 2024: $-1.02Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-0.86Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-0.81Q3 2025: $-0.82Q4 2025: $-0.82Q1 2026: $-0.79Q2 2026: $-0.87Q3 2026: $-0.89Forward: $0.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.06—
Q3 2026-$0.89-$0.07
Q2 2026-$0.87-$0.06
Q1 2026-$0.79+$0.02
Q4 2025-$0.82+$0.04
Q3 2025-$0.82+$0.13
Q2 2025-$0.81+$0.17
Q1 2025-$0.81+$0.21
Q4 2024-$0.86+$0.17

AIP lost $0.89 per share over the past year, about the same as its loss the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over AIP on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AIP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$25.8M+48%
Q2 2026$24.1M+46%
Q1 2026$22.9M+39%
Q4 2025$20.1M+30%
Q3 2025$17.4M+18%
Q2 2025$16.5M+13%
Q1 2025$16.5M+28%
Q4 2024$15.5M+24%

AIP has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

AIP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $281,000Q2 2024: $264,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$2M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $281,000Q2 2024: $264,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2.1M-186%
Q2 2026$8.6M+$11.5M
Q1 2026-$7.4M-375%
Q4 2025$3M+$5.7M
Q3 2025$2.5M+126%
Q2 2025-$2.8M-1176%
Q1 2025$2.7M+853%
Q4 2024-$2.7M+$726K

AIP has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

AIP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 49M
Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 49M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.5%+2.1M shares
1 year+16%+6.6M shares
3 years+37%+13.4M shares
5 years+107%+25.6M shares
Available history+183%+32M shares

AIP has 49M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over AIP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AIP Net Leverage

AIP's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AIP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.8Neutral
Stochastic15.5Oversold

AIP's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

AIP PE vs Technology Sector

AIP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AIP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.72.5% below
20 week MA$24.919% below
50 week MA$23.615% below
100 week MA$16.621% above
200 week MA$11.673% above

AIP has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 73% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over AIP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AIP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$22.4$20.9-6.4%
2022$20.9$4.29-80%
2023$4.29$5.89+37%
2024$5.89$10.3+74%
2025$10.3$15.9+55%
2026 YTD$15.9$20.2+27%

AIP has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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