AIP

Arteris, Inc.

61
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

AIP has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AIP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Stable
Unavailable

AIP's revenue is currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AIP PE Valuation

AIP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 341x next year's earnings.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AIP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AIP to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AIP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$31.79
Downside-36%$12.95

Calculated from the latest close: $20.19 on Nov 12.

AIP trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AIP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AIP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.03Q1 2024: $-1.02Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-0.86Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-0.81Q3 2025: $-0.82Q4 2025: $-0.82Q1 2026: $-0.79Q2 2026: $-0.87Q3 2026: $-0.89Forward: $0.06
Q4 2023: $-1.03Q1 2024: $-1.02Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-0.86Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-0.81Q3 2025: $-0.82Q4 2025: $-0.82Q1 2026: $-0.79Q2 2026: $-0.87Q3 2026: $-0.89Forward: $0.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.06—
Q3 2026-$0.89-$0.07
Q2 2026-$0.87-$0.06
Q1 2026-$0.79+$0.02
Q4 2025-$0.82+$0.04
Q3 2025-$0.82+$0.13
Q2 2025-$0.81+$0.17
Q1 2025-$0.81+$0.21
Q4 2024-$0.86+$0.17

AIP has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

AIP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$25.8M+48%
Q2 2026$24.1M+46%
Q1 2026$22.9M+39%
Q4 2025$20.1M+30%
Q3 2025$17.4M+18%
Q2 2025$16.5M+13%
Q1 2025$16.5M+28%
Q4 2024$15.5M+24%

AIP's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $26M last quarter, up 48% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

AIP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $281,000Q2 2024: $264,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$2M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $281,000Q2 2024: $264,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2.1M-186%
Q2 2026$8.6M+$11.5M
Q1 2026-$7.4M-375%
Q4 2025$3M+$5.7M
Q3 2025$2.5M+126%
Q2 2025-$2.8M-1176%
Q1 2025$2.7M+853%
Q4 2024-$2.7M+$726K

AIP has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

AIP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 49M
Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 49M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.5%+2.1M shares
1 year+16%+6.6M shares
3 years+37%+13.4M shares
5 years+107%+25.6M shares
Available history+183%+32M shares

AIP has 49M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over AIP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AIP Net Leverage

AIP's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AIP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.8Neutral
Stochastic15.5Oversold

AIP's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

AIP PE vs Technology Sector

AIP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AIP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.72.5% below
20 week MA$24.919% below
50 week MA$23.615% below
100 week MA$16.621% above
200 week MA$11.673% above

AIP has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

AIP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$22.4$20.9-6.4%
2022$20.9$4.29-80%
2023$4.29$5.89+37%
2024$5.89$10.3+74%
2025$10.3$15.9+55%
2026 YTD$15.9$20.2+27%

AIP has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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