AIOT

PowerFleet, Inc.

54
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

AIOT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over AIOT overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AIOT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

AIOT's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AIOT PE Valuation

AIOT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

AIOT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AIOT has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

AIOT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$3.83
Downside-35%$1.60

Calculated from the latest close: $2.47 on Nov 12.

AIOT trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AIOT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AIOT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.33Q1 2024: $-0.99Q2 2024: $-1.08Q3 2024: $-0.96Q4 2024: $-0.89Q1 2025: $-0.43Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.15Q2 2026: $-0.13Q3 2026: $-0.15Forward: $0.07
Q4 2023: $-0.33Q1 2024: $-0.99Q2 2024: $-1.08Q3 2024: $-0.96Q4 2024: $-0.89Q1 2025: $-0.43Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.15Q2 2026: $-0.13Q3 2026: $-0.15Forward: $0.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.07—
Q3 2026-$0.15+$0.16
Q2 2026-$0.13+$0.17
Q1 2026-$0.15+$0.28
Q4 2025-$0.23+$0.66
Q3 2025-$0.31+$0.65
Q2 2025-$0.30+$0.78
Q1 2025-$0.43+$0.56
Q4 2024-$0.89-$0.56

AIOT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.15 per share over the past year, against $1.08 at its worst in mid-2024.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over AIOT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AIOT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $106MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $112MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: $114MQ2 2026: $111MQ3 2026: $116M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $106MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $112MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: $114MQ2 2026: $111MQ3 2026: $116M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$115.7M+3.6%
Q2 2026$110.8M+6.4%
Q1 2026$114.5M+10%
Q4 2025$113.5M+6.6%
Q3 2025$111.7M+45%
Q2 2025$104.1M+38%
Q1 2025$103.6M+207%
Q4 2024$106.4M+208%

AIOT has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

AIOT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$13MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$13MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$11.3M-1058%
Q2 2026$3.6M+$7M
Q1 2026$6.1M-40%
Q4 2025$4.9M+$17.2M
Q3 2025$1.2M+$9.2M
Q2 2025-$3.4M+$9.8M
Q1 2025$10.1M+$11.7M
Q4 2024-$12.2M-423%

AIOT has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

AIOT Total Shares

Q2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 120MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 134MQ4 2025: 134MQ1 2026: 134MQ2 2026: 134MQ3 2026: 134M
Q2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 120MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 134MQ4 2025: 134MQ1 2026: 134MQ2 2026: 134MQ3 2026: 134M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+275K shares
1 year+0.6%+768K shares
3 years+280%+99M shares
5 years+363%+105M shares

AIOT has 134M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over AIOT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AIOT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 26.9xQ2 2025: 8.0xQ3 2025: 7.2xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q1 2025: 26.9xQ2 2025: 8.0xQ3 2025: 7.2xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20264.0xElevated
Q1 20264.1xHigh
Q4 20255.7xHigh
Q3 20257.2xHigh
Q2 20258.0xHigh
Q1 202526.9xHigh
Q3 2021-1.8xNet Cash

AIOT's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.2 years a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over AIOT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AIOT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.5Neutral
Stochastic21.5Neutral

AIOT's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

AIOT PE vs Technology Sector

AIOT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AIOT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.687.8% below
20 week MA$3.2223% below
50 week MA$3.7334% below
100 week MA$4.5045% below
200 week MA$4.0839% below

AIOT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 39% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over AIOT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AIOT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.11$7.47+22%
2021$7.47$4.88-35%
2022$4.88$2.38-51%
2023$2.38$3.42+44%
2024$3.42$6.80+99%
2025$6.80$5.43-20%
2026 YTD$5.43$2.47-55%

AIOT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 55% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over AIOT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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