AIOT

PowerFleet, Inc.

54
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

AIOT has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AIOT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

AIOT's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AIOT PE Valuation

AIOT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AIOT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AIOT to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AIOT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$3.83
Downside-35%$1.60

Calculated from the latest close: $2.47 on Nov 12.

AIOT trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AIOT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AIOT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.33Q1 2024: $-0.99Q2 2024: $-1.08Q3 2024: $-0.96Q4 2024: $-0.89Q1 2025: $-0.43Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.15Q2 2026: $-0.13Q3 2026: $-0.15Forward: $0.07
Q4 2023: $-0.33Q1 2024: $-0.99Q2 2024: $-1.08Q3 2024: $-0.96Q4 2024: $-0.89Q1 2025: $-0.43Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.15Q2 2026: $-0.13Q3 2026: $-0.15Forward: $0.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.07—
Q3 2026-$0.15+$0.16
Q2 2026-$0.13+$0.17
Q1 2026-$0.15+$0.28
Q4 2025-$0.23+$0.66
Q3 2025-$0.31+$0.65
Q2 2025-$0.30+$0.78
Q1 2025-$0.43+$0.56
Q4 2024-$0.89-$0.56

AIOT has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

AIOT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $106MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $112MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: $114MQ2 2026: $111MQ3 2026: $116M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $106MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $112MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: $114MQ2 2026: $111MQ3 2026: $116M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$115.7M+3.6%
Q2 2026$110.8M+6.4%
Q1 2026$114.5M+10%
Q4 2025$113.5M+6.6%
Q3 2025$111.7M+45%
Q2 2025$104.1M+38%
Q1 2025$103.6M+207%
Q4 2024$106.4M+208%

AIOT's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $116M last quarter, up 3.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

AIOT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$13MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$13MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$11.3M-1058%
Q2 2026$3.6M+$7M
Q1 2026$6.1M-40%
Q4 2025$4.9M+$17.2M
Q3 2025$1.2M+$9.2M
Q2 2025-$3.4M+$9.8M
Q1 2025$10.1M+$11.7M
Q4 2024-$12.2M-423%

AIOT has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

AIOT Total Shares

Q2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 120MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 134MQ4 2025: 134MQ1 2026: 134MQ2 2026: 134MQ3 2026: 134M
Q2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 120MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 134MQ4 2025: 134MQ1 2026: 134MQ2 2026: 134MQ3 2026: 134M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+275K shares
1 year+0.6%+768K shares
3 years+280%+99M shares
5 years+363%+105M shares

AIOT has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

AIOT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 26.9xQ2 2025: 8.0xQ3 2025: 7.2xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q1 2025: 26.9xQ2 2025: 8.0xQ3 2025: 7.2xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20264.0xElevated
Q1 20264.1xHigh
Q4 20255.7xHigh
Q3 20257.2xHigh
Q2 20258.0xHigh
Q1 202526.9xHigh
Q3 2021-1.8xNet Cash

AIOT's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.2 years a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AIOT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.5Neutral
Stochastic21.5Neutral

AIOT's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

AIOT PE vs Technology Sector

AIOT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AIOT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.687.8% below
20 week MA$3.2223% below
50 week MA$3.7334% below
100 week MA$4.5045% below
200 week MA$4.0839% below

AIOT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 39% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over AIOT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AIOT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.11$7.47+22%
2021$7.47$4.88-35%
2022$4.88$2.38-51%
2023$2.38$3.42+44%
2024$3.42$6.80+99%
2025$6.80$5.43-20%
2026 YTD$5.43$2.47-55%

AIOT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 55% so far in 2026.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS has the edge over AIOT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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