AIN

Albany International Corp.

58
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

AIN has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

AIN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$66.39-1.8%
Current21x$67.58—
Forward23x$67.58—
Fair25x$77.69+15%
Expensive30x$93.70+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AIN's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 23x next year's earnings.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Decline
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect AIN's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over AIN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

AIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$80.40
Downside-23%$52.22

Calculated from the latest close: $67.58 on Nov 12.

AIN trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AIN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.55Q1 2024: $3.56Q2 2024: $3.50Q3 2024: $3.20Q4 2024: $2.80Q1 2025: $2.49Q2 2025: $2.01Q3 2025: $-1.93Q4 2025: $-1.94Q1 2026: $-1.96Q2 2026: $-1.66Q3 2026: $3.17Forward: $2.99
Q4 2023: $3.55Q1 2024: $3.56Q2 2024: $3.50Q3 2024: $3.20Q4 2024: $2.80Q1 2025: $2.49Q2 2025: $2.01Q3 2025: $-1.93Q4 2025: $-1.94Q1 2026: $-1.96Q2 2026: $-1.66Q3 2026: $3.17Forward: $2.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.99-5.6%
Q3 2026$3.17+$5.10
Q2 2026-$1.66-183%
Q1 2026-$1.96-179%
Q4 2025-$1.94-169%
Q3 2025-$1.93-160%
Q2 2025$2.01-43%
Q1 2025$2.49-30%
Q4 2024$2.80-21%

AIN has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

AIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $324MQ1 2024: $313MQ2 2024: $332MQ3 2024: $298MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $289MQ2 2025: $311MQ3 2025: $261MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $329MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $324MQ1 2024: $313MQ2 2024: $332MQ3 2024: $298MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $289MQ2 2025: $311MQ3 2025: $261MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $329MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$349.5M+34%
Q2 2026$329.5M+5.8%
Q1 2026$311.3M+7.8%
Q4 2025$321.2M+12%
Q3 2025$261.4M-12%
Q2 2025$311.4M-6.2%
Q1 2025$288.8M-7.8%
Q4 2024$286.9M-11%

AIN's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $350M last quarter, up 34% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over AIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: −$17MQ2 2024: $64MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $51MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: $37M
Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: −$17MQ2 2024: $64MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $51MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: $37M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$36.5M+41%
Q2 2026-$14.5M-177%
Q1 2026-$3.6M+$9.8M
Q4 2025$51.4M-15%
Q3 2025$25.9M-18%
Q2 2025$18.8M-70%
Q1 2025-$13.5M+$3.8M
Q4 2024$60.2M+52%

AIN has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

AIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+8K shares
1 year-1.4%-416K shares
3 years-8.6%-2.7M shares
5 years-12%-3.8M shares
Available history-12%-3.7M shares

AIN has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

AIN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 8.2xQ4 2025: 6.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 7.5xQ3 2026: 1.5x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 8.2xQ4 2025: 6.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 7.5xQ3 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.5xHealthy
Q2 20267.5xHigh
Q1 20267.9xHigh
Q4 20256.6xHigh
Q3 20258.2xHigh
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20240.9xVery low

AIN's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.2 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.0Neutral
Stochastic58.9Neutral

AIN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

AIN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAINSector medianRelative
PE21x18x18% above
PE %194728 pts below

AIN is trading at 21x earnings, a 18% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$63.66.2% above
20 week MA$65.43.3% above
50 week MA$61.111% above
100 week MA$63.76.1% above
200 week MA$76.512% below

AIN has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

AIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$76.5$73.1-4.5%
2021$73.1$88.5+21%
2022$88.5$98.7+11%
2023$98.7$98.2-0.5%
2024$98.2$80.1-18%
2025$80.1$51.6-36%
2026 YTD$51.6$67.6+31%

AIN has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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