AIN

Albany International Corp.

58
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

AIN has a slight edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

AIN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

AIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$66.39-1.8%
Current21x$67.58—
Forward23x$67.58—
Fair25x$77.69+15%
Expensive30x$93.70+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AIN has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

AIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Decline
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect AIN's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

EBAY has the edge over AIN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

AIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$80.40
Downside-23%$52.22

Calculated from the latest close: $67.58 on Nov 12.

AIN trails EBAY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AIN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.55Q1 2024: $3.56Q2 2024: $3.50Q3 2024: $3.20Q4 2024: $2.80Q1 2025: $2.49Q2 2025: $2.01Q3 2025: $-1.93Q4 2025: $-1.94Q1 2026: $-1.96Q2 2026: $-1.66Q3 2026: $3.17Forward: $2.99
Q4 2023: $3.55Q1 2024: $3.56Q2 2024: $3.50Q3 2024: $3.20Q4 2024: $2.80Q1 2025: $2.49Q2 2025: $2.01Q3 2025: $-1.93Q4 2025: $-1.94Q1 2026: $-1.96Q2 2026: $-1.66Q3 2026: $3.17Forward: $2.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.99-5.6%
Q3 2026$3.17+$5.10
Q2 2026-$1.66-183%
Q1 2026-$1.96-179%
Q4 2025-$1.94-169%
Q3 2025-$1.93-160%
Q2 2025$2.01-43%
Q1 2025$2.49-30%
Q4 2024$2.80-21%

AIN has returned to profit: it earned $3.17 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over AIN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $324MQ1 2024: $313MQ2 2024: $332MQ3 2024: $298MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $289MQ2 2025: $311MQ3 2025: $261MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $329MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $324MQ1 2024: $313MQ2 2024: $332MQ3 2024: $298MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $289MQ2 2025: $311MQ3 2025: $261MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $329MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$349.5M+34%
Q2 2026$329.5M+5.8%
Q1 2026$311.3M+7.8%
Q4 2025$321.2M+12%
Q3 2025$261.4M-12%
Q2 2025$311.4M-6.2%
Q1 2025$288.8M-7.8%
Q4 2024$286.9M-11%

AIN's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $350M last quarter, up 34% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over AIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: −$17MQ2 2024: $64MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $51MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: $37M
Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: −$17MQ2 2024: $64MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $51MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: $37M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$36.5M+41%
Q2 2026-$14.5M-177%
Q1 2026-$3.6M+$9.8M
Q4 2025$51.4M-15%
Q3 2025$25.9M-18%
Q2 2025$18.8M-70%
Q1 2025-$13.5M+$3.8M
Q4 2024$60.2M+52%

AIN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $70M over the past year.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over AIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+8K shares
1 year-1.4%-416K shares
3 years-8.6%-2.7M shares
5 years-12%-3.8M shares
Available history-12%-3.7M shares

AIN has 29M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over AIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AIN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 8.2xQ4 2025: 6.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 7.5xQ3 2026: 1.5x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 8.2xQ4 2025: 6.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 7.5xQ3 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.5xHealthy
Q2 20267.5xHigh
Q1 20267.9xHigh
Q4 20256.6xHigh
Q3 20258.2xHigh
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20240.9xVery low

AIN has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

AIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.0Neutral
Stochastic58.9Neutral

AIN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

AIN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAINSector medianRelative
PE21x18x18% above
PE %194728 pts below

AIN has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$63.66.2% above
20 week MA$65.43.3% above
50 week MA$61.111% above
100 week MA$63.76.1% above
200 week MA$76.512% below

AIN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 12% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over AIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$76.5$73.1-4.5%
2021$73.1$88.5+21%
2022$88.5$98.7+11%
2023$98.7$98.2-0.5%
2024$98.2$80.1-18%
2025$80.1$51.6-36%
2026 YTD$51.6$67.6+31%

AIN has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 31% so far in 2026.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over AIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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