AIN

Albany International Corp.

58
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

AIN has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

AIN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

AIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$66.39-1.8%
Current21x$67.58—
Forward23x$67.58—
Fair25x$77.69+15%
Expensive30x$93.70+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AIN's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 23x next year's earnings.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA has the edge over AIN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Decline
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect AIN's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over AIN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

AIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$80.40
Downside-23%$52.22

Calculated from the latest close: $67.58 on Nov 12.

AIN trails BABA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AIN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.55Q1 2024: $3.56Q2 2024: $3.50Q3 2024: $3.20Q4 2024: $2.80Q1 2025: $2.49Q2 2025: $2.01Q3 2025: $-1.93Q4 2025: $-1.94Q1 2026: $-1.96Q2 2026: $-1.66Q3 2026: $3.17Forward: $2.99
Q4 2023: $3.55Q1 2024: $3.56Q2 2024: $3.50Q3 2024: $3.20Q4 2024: $2.80Q1 2025: $2.49Q2 2025: $2.01Q3 2025: $-1.93Q4 2025: $-1.94Q1 2026: $-1.96Q2 2026: $-1.66Q3 2026: $3.17Forward: $2.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.99-5.6%
Q3 2026$3.17+$5.10
Q2 2026-$1.66-183%
Q1 2026-$1.96-179%
Q4 2025-$1.94-169%
Q3 2025-$1.93-160%
Q2 2025$2.01-43%
Q1 2025$2.49-30%
Q4 2024$2.80-21%

AIN has returned to profit: it earned $3.17 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over AIN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $324MQ1 2024: $313MQ2 2024: $332MQ3 2024: $298MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $289MQ2 2025: $311MQ3 2025: $261MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $329MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $324MQ1 2024: $313MQ2 2024: $332MQ3 2024: $298MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $289MQ2 2025: $311MQ3 2025: $261MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $329MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$349.5M+34%
Q2 2026$329.5M+5.8%
Q1 2026$311.3M+7.8%
Q4 2025$321.2M+12%
Q3 2025$261.4M-12%
Q2 2025$311.4M-6.2%
Q1 2025$288.8M-7.8%
Q4 2024$286.9M-11%

AIN's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $350M last quarter, up 34% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over AIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: −$17MQ2 2024: $64MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $51MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: $37M
Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: −$17MQ2 2024: $64MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $51MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: $37M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$36.5M+41%
Q2 2026-$14.5M-177%
Q1 2026-$3.6M+$9.8M
Q4 2025$51.4M-15%
Q3 2025$25.9M-18%
Q2 2025$18.8M-70%
Q1 2025-$13.5M+$3.8M
Q4 2024$60.2M+52%

AIN has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

AIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+8K shares
1 year-1.4%-416K shares
3 years-8.6%-2.7M shares
5 years-12%-3.8M shares
Available history-12%-3.7M shares

AIN has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

AIN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 8.2xQ4 2025: 6.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 7.5xQ3 2026: 1.5x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 8.2xQ4 2025: 6.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 7.5xQ3 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.5xHealthy
Q2 20267.5xHigh
Q1 20267.9xHigh
Q4 20256.6xHigh
Q3 20258.2xHigh
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20240.9xVery low

AIN's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.2 years a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over AIN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.0Neutral
Stochastic58.9Neutral

AIN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

AIN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAINSector medianRelative
PE21x18x18% above
PE %194728 pts below

AIN has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

AIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$63.66.2% above
20 week MA$65.43.3% above
50 week MA$61.111% above
100 week MA$63.76.1% above
200 week MA$76.512% below

AIN has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

AIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$76.5$73.1-4.5%
2021$73.1$88.5+21%
2022$88.5$98.7+11%
2023$98.7$98.2-0.5%
2024$98.2$80.1-18%
2025$80.1$51.6-36%
2026 YTD$51.6$67.6+31%

AIN has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

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