AI
C3.ai, Inc.
AI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC has the edge over AI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
AI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
AI PE Valuation
AI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect AI's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
INTC has the edge over AI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
AI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.09 | -$0.49 |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.35 | -$1.11 |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.15 | -$0.92 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.83 | -$0.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.60 | -$0.32 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.24 | +$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.23 | +$0.10 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.21 | +$0.09 |
AI lost $3.09 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has the edge over AI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $52.4M | -25% |
| Q2 2026 | $51.6M | -53% |
| Q1 2026 | $53.3M | -46% |
| Q4 2025 | $75.1M | -20% |
| Q3 2025 | $70.3M | -19% |
| Q2 2025 | $108.7M | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $98.8M | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $94.3M | +29% |
AI's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $52M last quarter, down 25% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -188% | -10 points |
| Q2 2026 | -235% | -153 points |
| Q1 2026 | -264% | -175 points |
| Q4 2025 | -149% | -69 points |
| Q3 2025 | -178% | -94 points |
| Q2 2025 | -82% | +13 points |
| Q1 2025 | -89% | +17 points |
| Q4 2024 | -80% | +29 points |
AI's operating margin was −188% last quarter, down 10 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC has the edge over AI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC has the edge over AI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.1M | +$36.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$54.8M | -630% |
| Q1 2026 | -$56.2M | -$33.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$46.9M | -$7.4M |
| Q3 2025 | -$34.3M | -582% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.3M | -45% |
| Q1 2025 | -$22.4M | +$22.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$39.5M | +$14.4M |
AI has burned cash in most quarters: −$156M over the past year, against −$86M the year before.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC has the edge over AI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +10% | +14.5M shares |
| 1 year | +14% | +19.6M shares |
| 3 years | +34% | +39.3M shares |
| 5 years | +52% | +52.8M shares |
AI has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q2 2022 | $15M |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
AI Net Leverage
AI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.
AI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 70.9 | Neutral |
AI's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
AI PE vs Technology Sector
AI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.6 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $10.5 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $16.9 | 29% below |
| 200 week MA | $22.3 | 46% below |
AI has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.
AI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $119.6 | $161.0 | +35% |
| 2021 | $161.0 | $34.3 | -79% |
| 2022 | $34.3 | $10.9 | -68% |
| 2023 | $10.9 | $28.7 | +163% |
| 2024 | $28.7 | $35.7 | +24% |
| 2025 | $35.7 | $14.0 | -61% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.0 | $12.1 | -14% |
AI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +163% in 2023 to −79% in 2021. It's down 14% so far in 2026.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over AI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.