AI
C3.ai, Inc.
AI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS has the edge over AI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
AI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AI PE Valuation
AI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect AI's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.09 | -$0.49 |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.35 | -$1.11 |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.15 | -$0.92 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.83 | -$0.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.60 | -$0.32 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.24 | +$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.23 | +$0.10 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.21 | +$0.09 |
AI lost $3.09 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
AI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $52.4M | -25% |
| Q2 2026 | $51.6M | -53% |
| Q1 2026 | $53.3M | -46% |
| Q4 2025 | $75.1M | -20% |
| Q3 2025 | $70.3M | -19% |
| Q2 2025 | $108.7M | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $98.8M | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $94.3M | +29% |
AI's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $52M last quarter, down 25% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -188% | -10 points |
| Q2 2026 | -235% | -153 points |
| Q1 2026 | -264% | -175 points |
| Q4 2025 | -149% | -69 points |
| Q3 2025 | -178% | -94 points |
| Q2 2025 | -82% | +13 points |
| Q1 2025 | -89% | +17 points |
| Q4 2024 | -80% | +29 points |
AI has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over AI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.1M | +$36.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$54.8M | -630% |
| Q1 2026 | -$56.2M | -$33.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$46.9M | -$7.4M |
| Q3 2025 | -$34.3M | -582% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.3M | -45% |
| Q1 2025 | -$22.4M | +$22.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$39.5M | +$14.4M |
AI has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
AI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +10% | +14.5M shares |
| 1 year | +14% | +19.6M shares |
| 3 years | +34% | +39.3M shares |
| 5 years | +52% | +52.8M shares |
AI has 155M diluted shares, up 14% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q2 2022 | $15M |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has the edge over AI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
AI Net Leverage
AI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 70.9 | Neutral |
AI's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
AI PE vs Technology Sector
AI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.6 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $10.5 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $16.9 | 29% below |
| 200 week MA | $22.3 | 46% below |
AI has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
AI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $119.6 | $161.0 | +35% |
| 2021 | $161.0 | $34.3 | -79% |
| 2022 | $34.3 | $10.9 | -68% |
| 2023 | $10.9 | $28.7 | +163% |
| 2024 | $28.7 | $35.7 | +24% |
| 2025 | $35.7 | $14.0 | -61% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.0 | $12.1 | -14% |
AI has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.